Belenenses vs. Benfica Lisbon tip, prognosis & odds 03/08/2021 - Primeira Liga Free soccer tips

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Belenenses - Benfica Lisbon tip, prognosis and odds - Primeira Liga

Portuguese football is upside down this season and a look at the current table of the Primeira Liga reveals an extremely unusual picture. In particular, the fourth place in the table of Benfica Lisbon is a bitter disappointment for the Red Eagles. At the end of the 22nd matchday this weekend, there will be a small city derby in Lisbon on Monday evening - Belenenses will receive Benfica.

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Since the 2002/03 season, the champions in Portugal have been either FC Porto or Benfica Lisbon, but this streak is likely to come to an end in 2020/21. Ironically, Benfica city rivals Sporting Lisbon dominated the league at will and ranked first without a loss of the season. The lead over Porto is already ten points, while Benfica Lisbon is 16 points behind.

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Jorge Jesus' team is even trembling about qualifying for the premier class. There is an urgent need for victories, but an unpleasant task awaits on Monday. Belenenses was recently in good shape and may well have a surprise. Despite the crisis among the guests, the best bookmakers at Belenenses vs. Benfica Lisbon only deliver betting odds around 1.45 for the away win. The game starts on Monday evening at 9:15 p.m.

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Belenenses - Statistics & Current Form

The fight for the title in Portuguese football promises no more tension, but the drama of the race to stay in the league is hard to beat. There are just six points between the bottom of the table, CD Tondela, and the bottom light, CS Maritimo Funchal. More than half the league is fighting to stay in the league NOS. Belenenses SAD, as the club has been officially called since 2018/19, is right in the middle of this crowd.

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Five games without a loss

For the team of head coach Petit, who was under contract as a player with 1. FC Köln from 2008 to 2012, the momentum speaks in these weeks. The relegation candidate was recently in very strong form and last lost to Santa Clara (0: 2) on February 1st.

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Since this defeat, the current table-11. Score five times in a row. Among other things, Champions League participants FC Porto were picked for a draw. Speaking of draws: with ten points sharing in 21 league games so far, Belenenses is the king of draws in Portuguese football. In the betting base odds comparison on Monday between Belenenses and Benfica Lisbon for this forecast you can find odds of up to 4.75.

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Weakest offensive in the league

A neutral football fan is unlikely to voluntarily decide to watch a Belenenses game for over 90 minutes. In positive terms, the games could be seen as a prime example of tactical discipline, because the team practically does not choose any risk. Working against the ball is a top priority and playing forward basically doesn't exist.

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Belenenses has only scored 13 league goals in 21 league games, making it the worst offensive in the league. The reward for this is the strong defensive (18 goals conceded), which in total means that an average of only 1.48 hits per league game with Belenense's participation. Nevertheless, on Monday for the tip on the under 2.5 high odds of 1.95 are offered.

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Expected formation of Belenenses:

Kritsyuk - Henrique, Tomas Ribeiro, Tiago Esgaio - Lima, Sithole, Phete, Diogo Calila - Varela, Cardoso - Cassierra

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Benfica Lisbon - stats & current form

After missing the championship last season, the most successful coach in the club's recent history was brought back for a million-dollar fee. Jorge Jesus, who worked for the Red Eagles from 2009-2015, is supposed to lead the capital city club back to the top.

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Benfica - the league's disappointment

In addition to Jorge Jesus, the quality of the squad was again significantly strengthened. But so far these investments have not paid off. During his first term in office, Jorge Jesus averaged 2.27 points per game (321 competitive games) in six years, currently he has only 1.92 points after 38 games.

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The Champions League was missed and in the Europa League came the narrow end in the first knockout round against Arsenal in a high-class duel. Far more disappointing, however, are the performances in the domestic championship. In 21 league games, the top club celebrated only twelve wins, drew six times and conceded three defeats. For the first time since the 2008/09 season, Benfica Lisbon threatens to miss one of the top two places in the table.

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The Jesus-Elf are currently six points behind FC Porto, so a win in the small city derby on Monday is almost mandatory in order not to lose sight of the Champions League qualification.

Only four away wins in ten games

Overall, the question of the higher quality does not arise, but one's own performance outside the Estadio da Luz is definitely a cause for concern. In ten away games, Benfica Lisbon celebrated just four league wins. The last triple guest dates from December 20th. Since the 2-0 win at Gil Vicente, the Jesus-Elf have been without an away win five times (four draws, one defeat in the derby against Sporting).

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With Santa Clara, Moreirense or Farense there were also relatively "easy" opponents. At Belenenses vs. Benfica Lisbon there is definitely a risk in the prognosis for the away win. This tip is not advisable, especially due to the low odds.

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Expected formation of Benfica Lisbon:

Leite - Tavares, Vertonghen, Otamendi, Gilberto - Everton, Taarabt, Gabriel, Rafa Silva - Nunez, Seferovic

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Direct comparison / H2H

Unsurprisingly, the head-to-head comparison between these two teams speaks for itself. The Red Eagles from Lisbon have won no less than 76 of the 117 duels in the Portuguese House of Lords against their city rivals. Among other things, Benfica Lisbon prevailed in the last three league games.

However, Belenenses has scored points in two of the last three home games against the big favorites. The troubled top club has been warned accordingly, the game will by no means be a sure-fire success.

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Betting base forecast & Portugal Belenenses - Benfica Lisbon Portugal tip

Basically, the roles in this small city derby in the capital are clearly divided. The clearly positive direct comparison is the logical consequence due to the class difference. However, caution is advised on Monday evening, because the form curves of the two teams point in completely opposite directions. Value is definitely not present at Belenenses against Benfica Lisbon when predicting the favorite victory.

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The Red Eagles are under pressure to win, but have not won in the league for five away games. In contrast, the home side have a clearly increasing form curve and have now been unbeaten in five games.

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Although the Jesus protégés have the individual quality to break through the defensive bulwark of Belenenses, the tip on the double chance 1X is extremely lucrative due to the recent performances of both teams between Belenenses and Benfica Lisbon. Odds of up to 2.85 are offered for this, these are alluded to by the bookmaker Bwin, which we tested, with four units stake.

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