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Celje vs. Ljubljana: tips, prognosis & odds - 25.05.2021 - SERBIA: Cup Serbia
Most European leagues ended the regular 2020/21 season with the last matchday last weekend. This week, apart from the two big finals, there are only a few games left in UEFA competitions - play-offs or cup games. In Slovenia, the cup winner will be determined in the match between Celje and Ljubljana on Tuesday evening.
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The final of the Slovenian cup competition will be played in the SRC Bonifika stadium, the home of NK Koper. Celje finished the past season in seventh place, Ljubljana was in third place in the final accounts. The betting odds are accordingly distributed between Celje and Ljubljana.
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The team from the capital is seen as the clear favorite, but given the latest results in the league, this is not necessarily understandable. The game for the cup final starts on Tuesday at 8:45 p.m.
Celje - statistics & current form
The direct relegation never threatened this season, because newly promoted ND Gorica was far too weak for that. But in terms of relegation place, the team from the town of Celje, a town of almost 50,000, had to worry for a long time.
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Agron Salja guarantees success
NK Celje was not able to meet expectations either under coach Dusan Kosic (who was released a few days before Christmas) or under his successor Jiri Jarosik (who was in office until April 26th). After the no-name team was sensationally champion last season, the fight to stay in the league was the dominant theme.
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Only with the signing of head coach Agron Salja was a clear upward trend noticeable. Celje played a total of eight competitive games under the Neo-Trainer and can look back on a splendid record of seven wins and only one defeat.
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Later penalty ensures relegation
Thanks to this outstanding finish, Celje not only had the chance to win the second cup in the club's history on Tuesday, but also secured direct relegation. Thanks to 15 points from the last six league games, the penultimate ninth place was left on the last day of the game.
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In the direct duel with NK Koper, a penalty goal by Ivan Bozic in the 86th minute ensured the 2-1 victory and the associated jump over the ominous line.
After a season with countless setbacks, Celje is currently in excellent shape. In this respect, it is surprising that such high odds are offered for the cup final in Celje and Ljubljana when betting on Celje. Value is certainly there.
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Expected formation of Celje:
Rozman - Stojinovic, Zaletel, Kadusic - Benedicic, Sporn, Roric, Kerin - Kuzmanovic, Sokler, Bozic
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Ljubljana - statistics & current form
NK Olimpija Ljubljana is the full club name for the team from the capital. With seven championships and seven cup wins, the club is significantly more successful than the final opponent. The performances in the past season would have long been an argument to recommend the tip of the favorite victory in the final of Celje and Ljubljana.
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Horror series at the end of the season
In second place in the table, Ljubljana made a surprising change of coach on matchday 19, which initially paid off. Between matchday 21 and 33, the capital's team was in first place in the table with the exception of two rounds.
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The title win, and with it the successor to NK Celje, was within reach. But at the end of the season, the team under neo-coach Goran Stankovic slid into a downward spiral. The 6-2 success against relegation participant NK Koper on April 21 was the last full success in the league.
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In the final six games of the season, the title contender suffered four defeats and only achieved two draws. Instead of celebrating the first championship since 2017/18, Olimpija Ljubljana finally had to be content with third place in the table.
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Weak away record
In the end, four points were missing from the championship title. In addition to the dubiousness in the finish, the very poor record outside of one's own stadium is a reason for missing the championship. Ljubljana celebrated just five away wins in 18 games (six draws, seven defeats).
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The team scored only 15 goals abroad, so on average not even one goal was scored per away game. The weakness of form and the away record are two big arguments that speak against the prediction of the favorites in the cup final Celje against Ljubljana. With betting odds of just over 2.00, there is definitely no value to be seen.
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Expected formation of Ljubljana:
Frelih - Frogec, Milnar, Korun - Seslar, Pungaresek, Zeljkovic, Andrejasic, Baskera - Ivanovic, Perovic
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Direct comparison / H2H
In the Slovenian league with ten teams, the teams face each other four times per season. In the season in the Prva Liga of Slovenia that ended last weekend, Olimpija Ljubljana won both home games just 1-0, but only managed one draw away.
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The dress rehearsal for the cup final on Tuesday evening took place on May 16, when NK Celje, completely surprisingly, sent the capital's team home with a 4-0 package. This certainly represents a mental advantage and is an argument to make the prediction on the underdog in the final between Celje and Ljubljana.
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Betting base forecast & Slovenia Celje - Ljubljana Slovenia tip
The current season was completely contrary for the two finalists in the Slovenian cup competition. Looked at soberly, Celje has clear form advantages on his side and only just ten days ago clearly won the last meeting with 4: 0. Nevertheless, odds of up to 3.40 are offered when betting on Celje's regular win against Ljubljana.
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The team from the capital gambled away the title win in the final phase of the season by a series of six games without a win and is generally considered to be relatively weak away from a top team. The final will be played on a neutral pitch, but the clear favorite role is not justified.
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The Slovenian league is generally a league with very few goals. Given the importance of a final, two very destructive teams are expected. That is why the odds on the draw no bet market are recommended for the cup final between Celje and Ljubljana. Thanks to Celje's form strength, a 2.50 is set too high and is alluded to with a stake of five units.
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Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Tip | Odds | Match Result | Tip Result |
Apr 22, 2024 | England: Championship | Middlesbrough | Leeds | over 2.75 | 1.94 | 3:4 | WIN |
Apr 22, 2024 | Ireland: Premier Division | Derry City | St. Patricks | under 2.25 | 1.92 | 3:1 | LOSE |
Apr 22, 2024 | Italy: Serie A | AC Milan | Inter | over 2.75 | 1.91 | 1:2 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 22, 2024 | Egypt: Premier League | Al Ittihad | El Ismaily | under 2.25 | 1.76 | 1:1 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 22, 2024 | Turkey: Super Lig | Sivasspor | Fenerbahce | over 2.75 | 1.80 | 2:2 | WIN |
Apr 22, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Elfsborg | Kalmar | over 2.75 | 1.96 | 1:2 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 22, 2024 | Serbia: Super Liga | IMT Novi Beograd | Zeleznicar Pancevo | over 2.75 | 1.98 | 0:0 | LOSE |
Apr 21, 2024 | Germany: Bundesliga | Freiburg | Mainz | over 2.75 | 1.98 | 1:1 | LOSE |
Apr 21, 2024 | Belgium: Jupiler Pro League | Royale Union SG | Club Brugge KV | over 2.5 | 1.82 | 1:2 | WIN |
Apr 21, 2024 | Turkey: Super Lig | Galatasaray | Pendikspor | Galatasaray -1.75 | 1.75 | 4:1 | WIN |
Apr 21, 2024 | Germany: 3. Liga | Preussen Munster | Freiburg II | over 2.75 | 1.85 | 2:0 | LOSE |
Apr 21, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Halmstad | Brommapojkarna | over 2.5 | 1.88 | 0:2 | LOSE |
Apr 21, 2024 | Spain: LaLiga2 | Eldense | Albacete | under 2.25 | 1.80 | 0:1 | WIN |
Apr 21, 2024 | Scotland: Scottish Cup | Rangers | Hearts | Rangers -1.5 | 1.85 | 2:0 | WIN |
Apr 21, 2024 | France: Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Metz | under 2.25 | 1.82 | 0:1 | WIN |
Apr 21, 2024 | Estonia: Meistriliiga | Kuressaare | Narva | over 2.75 | 1.88 | 5:0 | WIN |
Apr 20, 2024 | France: Ligue 2 | Concarneau | Quevilly Rouen | under 2.25 | 1.82 | 0:0 | WIN |
Apr 20, 2024 | Italy: Serie A | Empoli | Napoli | over 2.75 | 1.97 | 1:0 | LOSE |
Apr 20, 2024 | Romania: Liga 1 | U Craiova 1948 | Din. Bucuresti | under 2.25 | 1.91 | 1:1 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 20, 2024 | Northern Ireland: NIFL Premiership | Ballymena | Newry City | over 2.75 | 1.94 | 4:0 | WIN |
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