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Five of the ten games in qualifying group J have been completed, and after the mountain festival, both Finland and Italy are making huge strides towards participating in the European Championship. With five wins and a goal difference of 16: 2 secured the Squadra Azzurra thereby the place on the sunny side.
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The Elf could already prematurely secure the safe participation in the finals at eight points ahead of third, after the proud football nation at the 2018 World Cup was recently condemned to watch.
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Meanwhile, the Huuhkajat – so far never in a European Championship or World Cup of the game – after a strong first round in which only the away game was lost in Italy, their first ticket for a European Championship finals also solve. Finally, five points after the recent coup over Greece already the distance to the group third Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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It is Finland against Italy, according to odds of the bookmaker in this sixth match of Group J, the blatant outsider, but has two decisive advantages. For one thing, the Huuhkajat’s defensive line is as good as ever, and has been without a clean sheet four times in a row. And on the other hand, the kickers from the land of ten thousand lakes now play against a team at home, where the draw would be sufficient.
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Thus, this starting position in Finland against Italy into the forecast certainly into it. The Finns are by no means doomed to victory, but can take it defensively as usual.
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Finland:
It’s halftime in the European Championship qualifiers and the Finnish national football team is heading for the achievement of a dream that has been cherished for decades: finally, it’s time to be part of a big final.
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The Huuhkajat owe this upswing above all to two factors. Firstly, the defensive chain in front of keeper Lukas Hradecky (Bayer Leverkusen) is currently in great shape. Only in the first group match, the first leg in Italy, it was in the 0-2 defeat two goals. Since then, the kickers from the land of a thousand lakes without defeat, without loss of points and especially without further congress by the group J.
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Secondly, the former Schalke’s Teemu Pukki (Norwich City), who scored once more in the 1-0 home win in Tampere during the week – and also against Italy as the scene – once again scored the gold goal.
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His seventh goal in the dress of the Huuhkajat alone in 2019 and a very important on top of that, with which Finland spends the mountain festival of the European Championship qualifying with five points ahead of pursuer Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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The self-confidence of the underdog is correspondingly high, whose EM dream could finally come true, although the five upcoming games will certainly be hard work. A point win against the Squadra Azzurra would take the troupe of Markku Kanerva, who is now in the fourth year in office and under which there were only two defeats, undoubtedly.
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But whether it actually enough for the European Championship, rather, will decide on October 12, 2019 in Zenica. Then Finland will have to play in pursuit Bosnia and Herzegovina in a veritable six-point match. The conditions are correct anyway, because the defense last held four times in a row the zero.
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Only six shots were allowed against Greece. Only two of them came on the box of Bundesliga legionary Lukas Hradecky. Thus, in Finland against Italy a tip on a draw by no means far-fetched. Finally, the four-time World Champion with this result would live well in this top game.
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Italy :
Almost two years ago, Italian football seemed to have reached its low point. After Antonio Conte had successfully started the generational upheaval in the run-up to the EURO 2016, but then ended his contract prematurely to switch to the Premier League, squadra Azzurra under Gian Piero Ventura missed for the first time in 60 years the qualification for one again world Championship.
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A complete disaster for the four-time world champion, who then under Roberto Mancini experienced a further change. And this seems to have been fully exploited, because so far all five matches were won under the new coach, whereby Italy leads the group in qualifying group J with a strong goal difference of 16: 2 without loss of points.
The secret recipe of the new coach: a consistent crackdown. Under Roberto Mancini no outliers are tolerated. The last of them, with Moise Kean and Nicolo Zaniolo, had two of the country’s most talented young stars, both of whom, for disciplinary reasons, are not in the squad for the two qualifiers.
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The reason for not considering: Both players came in the summer to a meeting of the Italian U21 too late. At least on the pitch, her absence at the qualifier in Armenia was quite noticeable. The heavily rejuvenated team seemed more sedentary than in the first four games and was even with 0: 1 in arrears.
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The game was shot only in the final quarter hour. At that time, Italy had already played in excess for half an hour. Roberto Mancici, meanwhile, attributed the difficulties to the fact that half of the championship is already over in Armenia and players would be better off than his own squad, in which the offensive forces Federico Bernadeschi (Juventus Turin) and Federico Chiesa (Fiorentina) were also struck.
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According to Italian bookmakers Italy is now in the clear favorites role against Finland, but is forced to make painful renovations. Marco Verratti (Paris Saint-Germain) received a yellow card in Armenia and has to take a break in the top flight in Tampere.
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With 34 international appearances, he is by far the most experienced midfielder in the young and inexperienced team, which now has to pass another matriculation exam. Should the Squadra Azzurra win the away game, the margin could rise to third place up to ten points (depending on the outcome of the match between Armenia and Bosnia and Herzegovina).
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That would be equal to four games still pending an early qualification. The young team will certainly not lack motivation.
23.03.19 EUR Italy Finland 2 : 0
06.06.16 FI Italy Finland 2 : 0
17.11.04 FI Italy Finland 1 : 0
11.06.03 EUR Finland Italy 0 : 2
29.03.03 EUR Italy Finland 2 : 0
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Can Finland score again after 44 years against Italy?
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The Italian national football team is in demand on Sunday in Finland, when it comes to the European Championship qualification. On this page you get a comprehensive bet tip analysis for this game. We took a close look at the strengths and weaknesses of both teams and appreciate how good the chances of winning the European Championship next year are. The kick-off is on Sunday at 20.45.
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Finland
3 wins in a row
0.7 goals
home advantage
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Italy
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2nd best offensive
5 wins in a row
very ball safe
Will Finland win for the 4th time in a row?
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Finland has tackled the first half of the European Qualifiers 2020 very well. The team of coach Markku Kanerva took 3 wins out of 4 games and is now in second place behind group favorite Italy. Nahc the kick-off in Italy, the team won subsequently in Armenia, at home against Greece and Liechtenstein in each case 2-0. At home against Italy, the Finns are now clearly Underdog, Tip 1 raises a relatively high odds of 6.50. If you believe in home points, you can place a Double Chance bet on 17X. Ideally, you will get back 2.5 times the wager here. Finland has never won against Italy in 14 attempts. Only at the Olympic Games in 1912, the Northern Europeans could win in extra time. Since 1975, they wait for this opponent in 8 games to a point. In the last 6 defeats they could not even mark a hit. However, according to our forecasts, the odds of a Finnish surprise are not nearly as good this time around.
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The Finns are still waiting for the first participation in a European or World Cup. They had the best record in this Euro 1996 qualifier when they won 5 out of 10 games (5 defeats). The Kanerva-Elf won in the autumn the group of the Nations League C ahead of Hungary, Greece and Estonia. Under this coach, the team has won 15 out of 27 games, with 5 draws and 7 defeats. Under Kanerva the team shoots 1.26 goals per game and gets an average of 0.7 goals. So, Finland is very defensive and will not make it easy for our predictions of a strong offensive like the Italian one. In 15 of the last 16 games with Finnish participation, only one of the teams scored goals (only 0-0). In 13 of the last 14 games, fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored.
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Will Italy remain unbeaten for the 9th time in a row?
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Italy remained spotless in the European Championship qualification before the summer break. The European champion from 1968 won 4 of 4 games and thus took the lead in the qualifying group. This could make you forget the shame of the missed World Cup 2018 participation. At European Championships it was for the Italians recently much better. In 4 of the last 5 continental tournaments, the southern Europeans have at least reached the quarter-finals. In 2000 and 2012, they became vice-European champions. In this qualifier, the Italians scored the 2nd-most goals, an average of 3.25 per game. 1 goal the team had to accept only. The team of Roberto Mancini is very aggressive, as proven by 21.0 goals per game. The team can well circulate the ball in their own ranks, Italy holds the ball to 64%. Key players in this possession game are Marco Verrati and Jorginho.
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The Southern Europeans have not lost the last 8 games, with 7 wins and 2 draws. Recently there were 5 wins in a row. In the last 7 games, the team only had to concede a goal against Bosnia. The Italians are our prediction therefore rightly favorite in Finland. With an away win you can take well playable 1.60er-odds. The Italians have won the last 8 duels with the Finns and conceded only one goal conceding, the last 6 games they could win to zero. The team play tactically disciplined under Mancini and concede only 0.67 goals per game. Even she scores an average of 1.67 goals. In 7 of the 12 games under this coach fell under 2.5 goals, but recently 3 times over 2.5. In the last 6 direct encounters between these two nations, fewer than 2.5 goals have been marked.
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Bet Tip and Forecast
Over / Under 2.5 goals we see as a pretty 50/50 chance. Since the bookies prefer an under 2.5 goal bet, we see value at over 3.5 hits in this game. More risk-takers can also play an away win without conceding.
Our Bet Tip Prediction: Tip 2
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Five of the ten games in qualifying group J have been completed, and after the mountain festival, both Finland and Italy are making huge strides towards participating in the European Championship. With five wins and a goal difference of 16: 2 secured the Squadra Azzurra thereby the place on the sunny side.
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The Elf could already prematurely secure the safe participation in the finals at eight points ahead of third, after the proud football nation at the 2018 World Cup was recently condemned to watch.
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Meanwhile, the Huuhkajat - so far never in a European Championship or World Cup of the game - after a strong first round in which only the away game was lost in Italy, their first ticket for a European Championship finals also solve. Finally, five points after the recent coup over Greece already the distance to the group third Bosnia and Herzegovina.
It is Finland against Italy, according to odds of the bookmaker in this sixth match of Group J, the blatant outsider, but has two decisive advantages. For one thing, the Huuhkajat's defensive line is as good as ever, and has been without a clean sheet four times in a row. And on the other hand, the kickers from the land of ten thousand lakes now play against a team at home, where the draw would be sufficient.
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Thus, this starting position in Finland against Italy into the forecast certainly into it. The Finns are by no means doomed to victory, but can take it defensively as usual. Thus, the draw in this top match of Group J is almost inevitable, which is why our recommendation in Finland vs. Italy goes to Tip X.
Finland - Statistics & Current Form
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It's halftime in the European Championship qualifiers and the Finnish national football team is heading for the achievement of a dream that has been cherished for decades: finally, it's time to be part of a big final.
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The Huuhkajat owe this upswing above all to two factors. Firstly, the defensive chain in front of keeper Lukas Hradecky (Bayer Leverkusen) is currently in great shape. Only in the first group match, the first leg in Italy, it was in the 0-2 defeat two goals. Since then, the kickers from the land of a thousand lakes without defeat, without loss of points and especially without further congress by the group J.
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Secondly, the former Schalke's Teemu Pukki (Norwich City), who scored once more in the 1-0 home win in Tampere during the week - and also against Italy as the scene - once again scored the gold goal.
His seventh goal in the dress of the Huuhkajat alone in 2019 and a very important on top of that, with which Finland spends the mountain festival of the European Championship qualifying with five points ahead of pursuer Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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"Italy can not afford to catch up with us. It's the second away game of the week for them and we're in very good shape. "
Markku Kanerva at mtv uutiset
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The self-confidence of the underdog is correspondingly high, whose EM dream could finally come true, although the five upcoming games will certainly be hard work. A point win against the Squadra Azzurra would take the troupe of Markku Kanerva, who is now in the fourth year in office and under which there were only two defeats, undoubtedly.
But whether it actually enough for the European Championship, rather, will decide on October 12, 2019 in Zenica. Then Finland will have to play in pursuit Bosnia and Herzegovina in a veritable six-point match. The conditions are correct anyway, because the defense last held four times in a row the zero.
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Only six shots were allowed against Greece. Only two of them came on the box of Bundesliga legionary Lukas Hradecky. Thus, in Finland against Italy a tip on a draw by no means far-fetched. Finally, the four-time World Champion with this result would live well in this top game.
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Expected establishment of Finland:
Hradecky - Urones - Arajuuri - Toivio - Raitala - Kamara - Sparv - Soiri - Lod - Tuominen - Pukki
Last matches of Finland:
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05.09.2019 - Finland vs. Greece 1: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
11.06.2019 - Liechtenstein vs. Germany Finland 0: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
08.06.2019 - Finland vs. Bosnia 2: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
26.03.2019 - Armenia Vs. Finland 0: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
23.03.2019 - Italy vs. Italy Finland 2: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
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Italy - Statistics & Current Form
Almost two years ago, Italian football seemed to have reached its low point. After Antonio Conte had successfully started the generational upheaval in the run-up to the EURO 2016, but then ended his contract prematurely to switch to the Premier League, squadra Azzurra under Gian Piero Ventura missed for the first time in 60 years the qualification for one again world Championship.
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A complete disaster for the four-time world champion, who then under Roberto Mancini experienced a further change. And this seems to have been fully exploited, because so far all five matches were won under the new coach, whereby Italy leads the group in qualifying group J with a strong goal difference of 16: 2 without loss of points.
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"Despite victory our worst game? No! Of course we had our problems today, but it's never been easy to find yourself after four months break and only two championship games. In Armenia, players have played more than half of the championship. "
Roberto Mancici at La Gazzetta dello Sport
The secret recipe of the new coach: a consistent crackdown. Under Roberto Mancini no outliers are tolerated. The last of them, with Moise Kean and Nicolo Zaniolo, had two of the country's most talented young stars, both of whom, for disciplinary reasons, are not in the squad for the two qualifiers.
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The reason for not considering: Both players came in the summer to a meeting of the Italian U21 too late. At least on the pitch, her absence at the qualifier in Armenia was quite noticeable. The heavily rejuvenated team seemed more sedentary than in the first four games and was even with 0: 1 in arrears.
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The game was shot only in the final quarter hour. At that time, Italy had already played in excess for half an hour. Roberto Mancici, meanwhile, attributed the difficulties to the fact that half of the championship is already over in Armenia and players would be better off than his own squad, in which the offensive forces Federico Bernadeschi (Juventus Turin) and Federico Chiesa (Fiorentina) were also struck.
According to Italian bookmakers Italy is now in the clear favorites role against Finland, but is forced to make painful renovations. Marco Verratti (Paris Saint-Germain) received a yellow card in Armenia and has to take a break in the top flight in Tampere.
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With 34 international appearances, he is by far the most experienced midfielder in the young and inexperienced team, which now has to pass another matriculation exam. Should the Squadra Azzurra win the away game, the margin could rise to third place up to ten points (depending on the outcome of the match between Armenia and Bosnia and Herzegovina).
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That would be equal to four games still pending an early qualification. The young team will certainly not lack motivation.
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Expected formation of Italy:
Donnarumma - Emerson - Romagnoli - Bonucci - Florence - Pellegrini - Jorginho - Barella - Bernadeschi - Chiesa - Belotti
Last matches of Italy:
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05.09.2019 - Armenia Vs. Italy 1: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
11.06.2019 - Italy vs. Italy Bosnia 2: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
08.06.2019 - Greece vs. Italy 0: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
26.03.2019 - Italy vs. Italy Liechtenstein 6: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
23.03.2019 - Italy vs. Italy Finland 2: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
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Finland vs. Italy direct comparison
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Head to head: 1 - 1 - 12
There have been 14 international matches between Finland and Italy so far. With twelve games won, the Squadra Azzurra is in the resulting "head to head" comparison clear leader. Thus, the Huuhkajat bring it in a draw only on a single victory against the quadruple world champion.
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Brisant: The only Finnish victory goes back to the very first comparison in 1912. In addition, since 1977 (1-6 defeat in the World Cup qualifying round), Finland have not scored a single goal against Italy in their last six outings.
Finland vs. Italy Tip & Forecast - 08.09.2019
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In Finland against Italy, the initial situation in Group J is included in the forecast. There, both teams are finally on the squares one and two and would thus both allowed to travel to the European Championship 2020. The Italians have thus rehabilitated for the botched World Cup qualification and the Finns are likely to participate for the first time in their history in a major finals.
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It is to be expected that both teams in this top game should not risk too much to endanger this. The Huuhkajat are also considered defensive and have not conceded a single goal in the past four games.
The replacement-weakened and not overly experienced offensive of the Squadra Azzurra should be quite difficult to break the defensive bulwark in the land of a thousand lakes. We do not expect a scorching game.
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Key facts - Finland vs. Italy tip
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Finland has not won a match against Italy for 117 years; For 42 years, the Huuhkajat wait for another goal against the Squadra Azzurra
After five out of ten qualifying matches, both nations ranked first and second in Group J and, according to their current status, would be directly qualified for the European Championship
Finland have not conceded a single goal in their last four group matches, while Italy lost 1-0 to Armenia last week
Instead, here is a game that is almost predestined for a division of points - either with a tired goalless draw or even with a 1-1 draw, when the falling behind team is forced to act.
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We therefore log in Finland against Italy tip X on our betting slip, especially since both teams would win a point with this result in the current group situation and in both certainly not two left counters would be the speech.
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There are odds of 4.00 against Finland for the division of points, which makes the decision even easier. Already a probability of occurrence of 26% leads to a positive expected value. And that is really the least that can be created despite the very clear "head to head" comparison. Three units should never exceed the never risk-free tip on the draw.
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Finland
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The Northerners have the best qualifying round in ten years, and Finland ranks second in the group, only behind the outstanding Italians. Wards Markku Karnev scored an important victory over the Greeks (1-0) in the final game, which eliminated the "Hellenes" from the fight for access to the final part of Evo 2020. Finland is committed to the classic Scandinavian football power and relies on reliable defense, flanking and quality standards. The team does not score many goals, which often means a minimal advantage, but the Finns miss very little (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games).
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The composition of the Finnish national team does not shine with their outstanding status, and the main character in this team is Norwich striker Teemu Pukki, which provides peak performance in the Premier League. In addition to Pukka, players such as goalkeeper Gradecki, defender Uronen, midfielders F. Jensen and Lod are to be highlighted in this team. The most important trump card of Finland, however, is the competent work of the entire team and the clear tactical work on the football field.
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Italy
The impressive Italian team leads the qualifying group with maximum points scored (15 points). Wards Roberto Mancini plays more confidently with each game, it seems as if the head coach could find the keys to the team and get them to demonstrate world-class football. Under Mancini, Italy began to look more aggressive in attack and turned away from the defensive principles that Italy had expressed in recent years. In the event of a victory in this game, there will be no doubt that the Italians will start in the final part of Euro 2020.
Now, a large generation of talented football players have grown in Italy, thanks to which this team can regain its former size. The leaders of the Italian team are in great shape - Belotti, Verratti, Jorginho, Bonucci, Bernardeschi and Donnarum.
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Betting Odds for the Game Finland - Italy
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In this game, the bookmakers have made a decision in favor of the Italians and rated their victory with a coefficient of 1.63. The victory of the Northerners is estimated at 6.30 and the draw at 3.98. We consider this power orientation to be completely fair. Sums with averages received from the bookmakers the following numbers: "Sum is more than 2.5" for 2.25, "Sum is less than 2.5" for 1.72.
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Forecast and bet on the match Finland - Italy by website analysts
In this game, the Mancini stations must secure a ticket to the European Championship 2020 and eliminate a competitor in the fight for first place in the group. The Finns will try to play in the defense, which should affect the effectiveness of the game. Here you should not expect a large number of goals scored. Our forecast is the victory of the Italians.
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Bet: Victory of Italy (P2) - 1.63.
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We are team of professional soccer tipsters. Our tips are focused in English Premier League, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League and other minor leagues. Our team has many years of experience in soccer betting. We want our clients to be serious betting people making an investment in order to increase their overall profit.
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Mar 25, 2024 | World: Friendly International | Montenegro | North Macedonia | under 2.25 | 1.90 | 1:0 | WIN |
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