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Flamengo vs. Fluminense: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 04.07.2021 - BRAZIL: Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A

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Flamengo vs. Fluminense: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 04.07.2021 - BRAZIL: Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A

 

Curtain up for the big derby in Rio de Janeiro! This weekend, in the Brazilian Serie A, there is a competition between Flamengo and Fluminense. In the Maracana Stadium, where both clubs from Rio are based, the best betting providers see last year's champions as favorites despite the current staff situation.

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For a win by Flamengo against Fluminense, odds of 1.73 are waving, for a tip on the supposed guests, however, 5.25. At the last meeting, the red-blacks not only prevailed against their arch rivals, but also celebrated the state championship in Rio de Janeiro. Fluminense is therefore eager to take revenge this weekend.

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In this calendar year, the Fluzao was able to prevail against Flamengo twice. Among other things, there was a well-deserved derby coup for Fluminense in the second half of last season. As the current table in Serie A shows, the underdog role this weekend is understandable.

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So far, last year's fifth had a weak start to the season and bobbed around in the lower half of the table. It is quite possible that the current form crisis will worsen with a derby defeat.

Flamengo - Statistics & Current Form

Six game days after the start of the season, the previous year's champion from Rio already has twelve points. Only against Bragantino (2: 3) and Juventude (0: 1) have Flamengo RJ conceded defeats so far. Because a large number of players have been appointed to the national team for the Copa America at Mengao, not all of the permanent staff is currently available.

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The latest results were therefore not surprising, especially since players such as Ribeiro, Isla, Barbosa and de Arrascaeta are among the key players in the red-black squad. Inevitably, head coach Rogério Ceni will continue to start the rotary press. In the derby against Fluminense, further changes in the starting XI cannot be ruled out.

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On Sunday evening, Flamengo will mainly rely on the home advantage in the Maracana Stadium. At home, the red-blacks have only conceded one defeat in the last eleven home games across all competitions. If the balance is expanded with a derby win, Flamengo vs. Fluminense odds of 1.73 for tip 1.

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Is the offensive power missing at the Mengao?

The failures of Barbosa and de Arrascaeta are particularly serious at the moment. Both players were a decisive success factor in the championship fight last season. Barbosa and Arrascaeta were able to participate in 34 of 68 goals. While the Brazilian was the most dangerous player in the ranks of the Mengao, Arrascaeta was particularly convincing as an assist provider.

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As the most recent away game at Cuiaba-MT shows, the absence of the two offensive stars can be clearly felt. Against the tables-18. Flamengo won 2-0 in Serie A, but the performance was by no means satisfactory. The host had a chance to equalize during the game.

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In order to master the derby against Fluminense, Flamengo will have to improve significantly. On Sunday evening, the Mengao will play their fourth competitive game within eleven days, so it would by no means be absurd if the physical strain at the derby was noticeable. It is quite possible that we will see a fla-river with little goal.

Expected formation of Flamengo:

Batista - Filipe Luis, Caio, Arao, Matheuzinho - Vitinho, Diego, Joao Gomes, Michael - Pedro, Bruno Henrique

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Fluminense - statistics & current form

Roger Machado moves on thin ice after the false start with Fluminense. So far, the 46-year-old trainer has not been able to initiate the turnaround with his team, eight game days after the start of the season, Fluzao only ranks 13th in the table. Since the home win over Santos on matchday four, there have been four games in a row without a win for Fluminense.

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During the week, Machado's team was literally demonstrated against Atletico PR. Despite the home advantage, there was a clear defeat at the Maracana Stadium against the second in the table in Serie A. Fluminense took the lead 1-0, but then conceded goals. For the first time since December 2020, Fluzao lost a home game in Serie A.

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This weekend, the next match is on the agenda in the Maracana, this time the fifth from last year will meet arch-rival Flamengo RJ. In the derby, as expected, Fluminense is seen as an outsider in the current condition. For a surprise coup by Fluzao, Flamengo vs. Fluminense can win odds of up to 5.25.

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Fluminense is dying to take revenge

The last time the two clubs met at the national championship in Rio de Janeiro. Fluminense fought for a draw in the final, but in the second leg there was a clear defeat (1: 3) against their arch rivals. Fluminense has not won a single national championship in Rio since 2012.

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This weekend, Fluzao can now return the favor for the defeat. Fluminense benefits above all from the current personnel situation from last year's champions, who will lack some top performers. Fluminense, on the other hand, will mostly start with the best line-up.

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After the weak performance against Atletico-PR there are changes in table-13. from Rio cannot be ruled out. Fred is expected to remain at the top. On the other hand, Kayky can expect a starting eleven on the wings on Sunday evening, who will move to Manchester City next year.

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Expected formation of Fluminense:

Marcos - Egidio, Luccas Claro, Nino, Calegari - Yago, Felipe - Kayky, Nene, Cazares - Fred

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Direct comparison / H2H

Overall, it will be the 434th meeting between Flamengo and Fluminense. The Mengao currently leads the direct comparison against the Fluzao with a record of 159-140-134, with the most wins in the state championship in Rio de Janeiro. In Serie A, however, the direct comparison (24-17-23) is largely even.

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This calendar year, the two arch-rivals from Rio de Janeiro will meet for the fifth time. Fluminense was able to prevail against Flamengo in the second half of Serie A 2020/21 and in the group stage of Campeonato Carioca. The Red-Blacks, on the other hand, recently celebrated a derby win (3: 1) and thus also won the state championship.

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Betting base forecast & Brazil Flamengo - Fluminense Brazil tip

Fluminense is currently in free fall with four straight games without a win. In contrast to Flamengo, where the form curve can still be justified with the failures of key players, the youngest form of Fluzao was by no means glossed over. After all, Roger Machado can largely draw on unlimited resources.

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During the week, Fluminense suffered their second defeat of the season at their home game against Atletico-PR. Against the runners-up in Serie A, Machado's team took the lead in the second minute, but then conceded four goals in the course of the game. It is quite possible that the next defeat will follow against the weakened Flamengo RJ.

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Both clubs are currently completing a solid match schedule in Serie A, the physical strain is clearly noticeable. We therefore tend to consider a derby with few goals between the two arch-rivals from Rio to be obvious. In Flamengo vs. Fluminense, our tip on good odds aims at under 2.5 goals in the game.

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We use a total of five units for this. The best odds for our prognosis are currently offered by 888Sport. The 888Sport test report shows which advantages there are still to be found.

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Nov 30, 2021Italy: Serie AAtalantaVeneziaAtalanta -1.751.964:0WIN
Nov 29, 2021Spain: LaLiga2EibarGironaunder 2.251.834:2LOSE
Nov 29, 2021England: ChampionshipDerbyQPRunder 2.51.791:2LOSE
Nov 29, 2021Romania: Liga 1CFR ClujAcademica ClinceniCFR Cluj -1.51.752:0WIN
Nov 29, 2021Denmark: SuperligaVejleMidtjyllandunder 2.752.051:1WIN
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