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GFA 74 - Monaco: Tips, prognosis and odds - 13.05.2021 - FRANCE: Ligue 1 Coupe de France
7,378 clubs - an incredible number of participants took part in the Coupe de France 2020/21 this season. The big cup competition in France can make dreams come true for countless amateur clubs - a story like that was written again this season. In the semifinals, a fourth division is represented and plays in the concert of the big ones. So there is a duel between GFA 74 and Monaco in an extremely unequal semi-final.
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GFA 74 - a club name that probably no football fan in German-speaking countries can relate to. GFA Rumilly-Vallieres is the full name of the club and is the big surprise of this cup season. The no-name association is examined in more detail below.
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Basically, the host has no chance against the team from the Principality, and the betting odds are accordingly clear. On the regular victory market, odds of up to 20.00 for the victory of the underdog are offered between GFA74 and Monaco. Conversely, the Kovac protégés are only attracted by a 1.2-fold commitment if they are successful. The game in the Parc des Sports of Annecy starts on Thursday at 9:15 p.m.
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GFA 74 - Statistics & Current Form
Even with the full club name GFA Rumilly-Vallieres only very few experts can do anything. Rumilly has a population of almost 15,000 in the Auvergne-Rhone-Alps region. Football has so far played a subordinate role in the small town, because the club has never played higher than in the current fourth division.
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National championship paused
However, the team of head coach Fatsah Amghar has not played in the national championship for a long time. As here in Germany, the ball is currently resting in amateur football and only one league game was played in 2021 (0-0 against the second team from Olympique Marseille).
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In total, only nine games were played in the National 2 anyway. With a 2-4-3 record, the no-name team is in eleventh place in a 16-player league. Not an outstanding record, but as a climber Rumilly-Vallieres can be quite satisfied with it.
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Strong nerves in the Coupe de France
The semi-final in the big cup competition is without a doubt the greatest success in the club's history. On the way to this historic success, the fourth division team had a bit of luck and especially nerves of steel cables.
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GFA 74 only survived three of the six rounds on penalties. Achieving this somehow will probably also be the goal on Thursday. Offensive action will rarely be seen, rather the underdog will work with man and mouse against the ball to keep the zero. Accordingly, with GFA74 vs. Monaco, the prognosis is that not both teams will score. A goal by the underdog would be surprising.
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The luck of the draw can be underlined by the fact that the fourth division has not had to play against any Ligue 1 team so far. Only in the quarter-finals, against Toulouse FC, was a second division eliminated.
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Expected list of GFA 74:
Delauney - Bozon, Leveque, Ribeiro, Boinali - Gay, Guillaud, Peuget, Cottin - Liongo, Moke Njedi
Monaco - statistics & current form
Should Manchester United get the upper hand in the Europa League final against the yellow submarine from Villarreal, the table third in the French Ligue 1 2021/22 will also be represented in the Champions League. In this third place is currently the Kovac-Elf from the Principality.
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Concentration on the league - but reaching the finals is a must
However, this third place is by no means guaranteed for the Monegasque. On the one hand, the gap to PSG is only two points, but in particular the lead over Olympique Lyon is minimal with only one point (and the worse goal difference). A slip in the last two league games could therefore have devastating consequences.
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The focus is therefore certainly on the two upcoming games against Stade Rennes and RC Lens. Both very uncomfortable games against teams who are still fighting for participation in the UEFA Conference League.
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Due to the clear favorite role in the cup semifinals, Niko Kovac will probably give one or the other star player a breather. However, the height of the fall is of course enormous, because if the fourth division side failed, the Monegasque would become a mockery of France. For the final of GFA 74 vs. Monaco, the current odds are around 8.00.
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Monaco have not yet conceded a goal in the cup
Compared to their opponents in the cup, the Monegasque only had to survive four rounds to be in this semi-final. The tasks were much more difficult for the Kovac-Elf, because with OGC Nice, FC Metz and Olympique Lyon, the team from the principality had to eliminate three league competitors.
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Despite these tough opponents, Monaco was hardly exposed. Only against FC Metz had Monaco tremble a little after 120 goalless minutes on penalties. Speaking of goalless - these were all four opponents against the Monegasque who have not yet conceded a goal in the previous cup competition.
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Expected formation of Monaco:
Mannone - Ballo-Toure, Badiashile, Disasi, Aguilar - Caio Henrique, Fofana, Tchouameni, Diop - Ben Yedder, Volland
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Direct comparison / H2H
The blatant underdog will meet the team from the Principality for the first time in the cup semifinals of the Coupe de France 2020/21.
Betting base forecast & France GFA 74 - Monaco France tip
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Duels between David and Goliath are not uncommon in the cup, after all, it is precisely in such games that almost unimaginable stories are created. Usually, however, these games are mostly to be found in the first round of the cup, in France the semi-finals are now such a duel. Fourth league against CL contenders - in GFA74 vs. Monaco, the tip on Niko Kovac's team is absolutely obvious.
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The final entry of the favorite is not necessarily a lucrative affair, because the betting odds are correspondingly low. The game GFA74 vs. Monaco only becomes lucrative when you tip on the handicap Monaco -2.5.
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It's not even just the qualitative difference
decisive for this bet, but also the fact that the fourth division club lacks any match practice. In addition, Monaco will by no means underestimate the opponent and thus want to risk a possible final lightly. With the necessary concentration, the first division team should also be able to win this height. Five units are used as an insert.
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Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Tip | Odds | Match Result | Tip Result |
Apr 24, 2024 | England: Premier League | Manchester Utd | Sheffield Utd | Manchester Utd -1.75 | 2.04 | 4:2 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 24, 2024 | France: Ligue 1 | Monaco | Lille | over 2.75 | 1.91 | 1:0 | LOSE |
Apr 24, 2024 | Netherlands: Eredivisie | Ajax | Excelsior | Ajax -1.75 | 1.98 | 2:2 | LOSE |
Apr 24, 2024 | England: Premier League | Everton | Liverpool | Liverpool 0 | 1.87 | 2:0 | LOSE |
Apr 24, 2024 | England: Premier League | Wolves | Bournemouth | over 2.75 | 1.88 | 0:1 | LOSE |
Apr 24, 2024 | Turkey: Turkish Cup | Trabzonspor | Karagumruk | over 2.5 | 1.81 | 3:2 | WIN |
Apr 24, 2024 | Germany: 3. Liga | Saarbrucken | RW Essen | over 2.75 | 1.81 | 1:1 | LOSE |
Apr 24, 2024 | Norway: NM Cup | Kjelsas | Kongsvinger | over 2.75 | 1.79 | 3:2 | WIN |
Apr 24, 2024 | Romania: Liga 1 | U. Cluj | Poli Iasi | under 2.25 | 1.85 | 1:0 | WIN |
Apr 23, 2024 | England: Premier League | Arsenal | Chelsea | under 3.25 | 1.88 | 5:0 | LOSE |
Apr 23, 2024 | England: League One | Cheltenham | Peterborough | over 2.75 | 1.90 | 2:0 | LOSE |
Apr 23, 2024 | Switzerland: Challenge League | Xamax | Wil | over 2.5 | 1.82 | 2:2 | WIN |
Apr 23, 2024 | Romania: Liga 1 | FC Botosani | Din. Bucuresti | under 2.25 | 1.79 | 2:1 | LOSE |
Apr 23, 2024 | Lithuania: A Lyga | Siauliai FA | Suduva | under 2.25 | 1.84 | 0:1 | WIN |
Apr 23, 2024 | Egypt: Premier League | Smouha | Baladiyat El Mahalla | under 2.25 | 1.89 | 4:0 | LOSE |
Apr 23, 2024 | Romania: Liga 1 | FC Voluntari | U Craiova 1948 | under 2.25 | 1.99 | 0:0 | WIN |
Apr 22, 2024 | England: Championship | Middlesbrough | Leeds | over 2.75 | 1.94 | 3:4 | WIN |
Apr 22, 2024 | Ireland: Premier Division | Derry City | St. Patricks | under 2.25 | 1.92 | 3:1 | LOSE |
Apr 22, 2024 | Italy: Serie A | AC Milan | Inter | over 2.75 | 1.91 | 1:2 | WIN 1/2 |
Apr 22, 2024 | Egypt: Premier League | Al Ittihad | El Ismaily | under 2.25 | 1.76 | 1:1 | WIN 1/2 |
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