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Several decisions have already been made before the last matchday of qualifying. On Monday night, there are accordingly a few international matches under competitive conditions, which can basically be considered almost as a kind of friendly match. Everything is clear since Friday evening in the group J.
Italy has been stuck for a long time as a fixed EM starter, the second ticket in this group could secure itself Finland with the former Schalke Teemu Pukki. A look at this group is worthwhile on Friday, however, because Italy could complete the qualification with a bright white vest. Italy will need a victory against the Eastern Europeans against Armenia in Palermo!
There are hardly any doubts about this, as the Italian national team have found their way back under Roberto Mancini and were convinced not only because of their nine wins in this qualification.
Although Armenia can certainly be satisfied with the current qualification (after all, there are ten points on the credit side), the team still has no chance of being represented for the first time in a major football event in 2020. The bookmakers also see no chance in Palermo - for the home win of Italy against Armenia maximum odds of 1.20 are offered. The game starts on Monday at 20:45.
Italy - Statistics & Current Form
For the first time since 1992 (European Championships in Sweden) missed the Italian national football team with the World Cup last year, a major event. The last European Championship without Italian participation even existed in 1958 (also in Sweden). Although the downward trend has already been indicated by the preliminary rounds of 2016 and 2014, non-qualifying was a major shock for Italy.
After the end, head coach Gian Piero Ventura had to vacate his chair and after Luigi di Biagio coached the Squadra Azzurra for two games, Roberto Mancini presented the desired solution. A decision that has paid off.
Mancini has driven the long overdue upheaval and still be able to deliver good results. Meanwhile, he is responsible for 18 international matches for Italy and looks back on a strong 12-4-2 balance sheet (goal difference 36:11).
The two defeats resulted from a friendly match against France (1: 3) and from the Nations League game in Portugal (0: 1). Since the defeat against the reigning European champion Italy celebrated ten wins in twelve games. The Mancini-Elf does not lack confidence in these days by any means.
The offensive game with the three-way attack is complacent and extremely dangerous, but the defensive is still extremely compact. Only three goals conceded in the current qualification are the best proof of this statement.
Although the match was already a kind of friendly match against Bosnia on Friday in Zenica, the team presented themselves highly concentrated and won a sovereign 3-0 victory over - on paper - the strongest group opponent. The prospect of playing the perfect qualification spurs on Italy and with this attitude, there can only be a prognosis towards the home side between Italy and Armenia!
It does not matter who Mancini will call in the starting lineup - against Bosnia sat actors such as Ciro Immobile, Nicolo Zaniolo or Federico Chiesa namely, for example, 90 minutes on the bench.
Expected formation of Italy:
Donnarumma - Emerson, Acerbi, Bonucci, Florencei - Tonali, Jorginho, Zaniolo - Insigne, Immobile, Chiesa
Last matches of Italy:
15.11.2019 - Bosnia vs. Bosnia Italy 0: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
15.10.2019 - Liechtenstein vs. Germany Italy 0: 5 (European Championship Qualification)
12.10.2019 - Italy vs. Italy Greece 2: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
08.09.2019 - Finland vs. Italy 1: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
05.09.2019 - Armenia Vs. Italy 1: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
Armenia - Statistics & Current Form
Armenia scored two points in qualifying for the European Championship in 2016, with seven points on the credit side in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Accordingly, the Eastern Europeans failed clearly in both cases.
Even in the current qualification, the chance of the first participation was never really great - and still there is progress. Armenia scored ten points in their nine previous games and was able to convince others in Greece (3: 2) and at home against Bosnia (4: 2).
However, the October doubles were completely disappointed with a draw against bottom of Liechtenstein and a clear away defeat in Finland. For head coach Armen Gyulbudaghyants, the disappointment was so great that almost exactly one year later he left the post as head coach of his homeland. After a short search Abraham Khashmanyan - former coach of the Armenian top club Alashkert - was presented as successor.
In his first international match doubles, the new coach is by no means to be envied. With the ex-Dortmunder Henrik Mkhitaryan missing the big star of the team due to an adductor injury. Bayern-Schreck Sargis Adamyan (double for the TSG Hoffenheim against Bayern) is suffering from a thigh injury and his home is therefore also not available.
Without the two top players, Armenia has very little quality and almost exclusively second- or third-class players available. In view of the available squad material, the tip on the home side's handicap win can be recommended between Italy and Armenia.
Expected formation of Armenia:
Hayrapetyan - Hovhannisyan, Voskanyan, Ishkhanyan, Callsir, Hambardzumyan - Vardanyan, Grigoryan, Hovsepyan, Barseghyan - Karapetyan
Last matches of Armenia:
15.11.2019 - Armenia Vs. Greece 0: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
15.10.2019 - Finland vs. Germany Armenia 3: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
12.10.2019 - Liechtenstein vs. Germany Armenia 1: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
08.09.2019 - Armenia Vs. Bosnia 4: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
05.09.2019 - Armenia Vs. Italy 1: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
Italy vs. Armenia Direct Comparison
For the first time, the two national teams faced each other during qualifying for the 2014 World Cup. In Armenia, the Squada Azzurra celebrated the win, but completely surprisingly, Italy had to settle for a home match with a 2-2 draw, while the home side were even two times in arrears.
Armenia again took the lead in the first match of the current qualifying round, but Andrea Belotti equalized before half-time. A double strike by Pellegrini and again Belotti paved the way for the favorite win!
Italy against Armenia Tipp & Prognosis - 18.11.2019
This time the fans in Sicily will enjoy watching their national team live. The decision in Group J of the European Championship qualifiers has long since fallen, but the Mancini team already showed on Friday night that this is no reason to loose a game.
The perfect qualification beckons the Squadra Azzurra and the probability of a point loss of the Italian team can be described as low. The bookmakers offer for the home win between Italy and Armenia only quotas around 1.20!
Key Facts - Italy vs. Armenia tip
Nine games - nine wins! Italy beckons perfect qualification in Group J
Despite the backlog, Italy celebrated a 3-1 victory in the first leg!
Armenia has to give up the two top players Mkhitaryan and Adamyan due to injury!
This clear favorite role is absolutely justified not only in view of the superior form of Italy, but is also underlined by the fact that in Armenia, the two best players due to injuries are not available. The quality difference is huge and a similar result as on Friday away in Bosnia is to be expected.
Accordingly lucrative we consider between Italy and Armenia the prognosis on the handicap victory -2,5! At Tipico we have found the best odds for this tip and make use of five units!
The Squadra Azzurra receives Armenia in Palermo for a duel.
On the final day of the European Qualifiers group stage, Italy will welcome the eleven from Armenia in Palermo for a duel. Italy has already qualified for the European Championship final round for several weeks and is going into the tournament as a group first. Armenia's chances are dependent on the game against Greece, which will take place on Thursday. As a current group member, one could theoretically catch up with Finland and take the second place in Group J. The game against Italy would have to win one way or the other to catch up with the Finns. Finland win one of their last two games, Armenia has no chance. We focused on the game against Italy and analyzed both teams in advance. Our Bet Tip provides you with predictions on the course of the game and recommendations on interesting betting variants of the game. Kick-off at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Palermo is on Monday, 18 November 2019, at 20:45.
Goals per game: 3.13
Goals per game: 0.4
8 wins from 8 games
Goals per game: 1.6
Goals per game: 1.9
3 wins from 8 games
Italy gives domestic fans one more encore
The Italian football soul has suffered, after the surprising departure from the World Cup qualifiers for Russia 2018, hard. All the more gratifying was the group stage of the European Qualifiers. The shame and ridicule of bygone days has quickly been left behind and soothed with good performances, media and fans alike. The Squadra Azzurra have won all group matches and are by far ahead of group J. Since introducing Roberto Mancini as the new head coach, the team has always been the winner. All previous 8 games under his leadership have been won, 5 of them even without a clean sheet. An away game against Bosnia and Herzegovina is scheduled for Friday, before ending the group stage on Monday in Palermo.
The team will not go to the pitch in full strength. Roberto Mancini has already brought three debutants in the squad and announced. Gaetano Castrovillo, Andrea Cistana and Riccardo Orsolino, all give their national team debut. But even if Italy will spare some key players, they start against Armenia's clear favorite. The first leg in Yerevan was won 1: 3. After only 11 minutes, the Squadra Azzurra was 1-0 in the back, but turned the game as expected. Italy dominated in all respects and came to 68% ball possession, with a pass rate of 89%. On average, Italy comes to 3.13 goals per game, but averaged only 0.4 goals conceded. Thus one comes after 8 games on a goal balance of 25: 3 gates. We expect another win for the Azzurri, 2 or more goals should be possible.
Armenia's last rearing
For the team from Armenia, the last group match against Italy could be decisive, or irrelevant for the qualification. Depending on the outcome of the match against Greece on Friday, 15 November 2019, the game against Italy could be the last chance to qualify. Either way, you want to stand against Italy. But that will not be easy for the team of head coach Abraham Kashmanyan. He took over office from his predecessor Armen Gyulbudaghyants just 8 days ago. In turn, has in turn completed only 12 games as a coach of the team. He was able to record 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. Kashmanyan faces Greece on Friday before his debut as Armenian team coach, Game 2 will then take on Italy.
In qualifying so far, you have been able to win 3 wins and 1 draw, losing 4 games. That means 10 points in the group J. The deficit to runner-up Finland is 5 points before the game against Greece. In order to save even a chance for a direct qualification, you have to win 2 games in the last 2 games. If you lose against Greece on Friday the dream finals are over. It will be particularly difficult against Italy. In the first leg Armenia had little chance of playing, only 32% possession could be claimed. 8 finals were noted, Italy came on whole 17. Only 67% of the passes found a teammate, where you could note only 209 pass attempts. For comparison, Italy had 617 pass attempts. For the second leg in Palermo we expect a similar gameplay. Armenia has scored at least one goal in 6 of the 8 games so far, averaging 1.63 goals per game. However, you also conceded 1.9 goals per game. We expect a defeat for Armenia, probably a clear one.
The practice of not hosting the most important matches of the Italian national team in provincial towns will continue on Monday, when the "Squadra Azzurra" at the "Renzo Barbera" stadium in Palermo in Sicily receives guests from Armenia.
Italian national team
The Apennines together with the Belgian national team is the only team that has won all their matches in the current qualifying round. It was clear that Italy would win the group quietly, but few expected the team to go that route without a single miss.
In the last round, the divisions of Borerto Mancini beat the national team of Bosnia quite easily on the road. According to some statistical indicators, guests have even lost to the Bosnians, but in terms of implementation, they showed their best side. Both teams attacked a lot and only the "Squadra Azzurra" scored a goal. Lorenzo Insigne and Francesco Acherbi scored in the first half, with Andrea Belotti scoring the final.
Armenian national team
Although the Armenian team can not theoretically even reach the finals, the team's performance in this qualifier can be described as successful. And if Henry Mkhitaryan had not been injured, I think the Highlanders could also fight for second place.
Without their leader in the last round, the Caucasians seemed very faded and lost to the Greeks in the case at home. The score was minimal, although if they had achieved at least half of their time, they could have gone home with a big win.
Roberto Mancini chose the tactical set-up of 4-3-3 from the start, and I think he will not change his mind until the last round because his team will win one victory after another with such a scheme.
Abraham Khashmanyan was a little surprised on his debut as head coach of the Armenian team. The team played five defenders, and the scheme itself had an unusual appearance of 5-2-3. It is difficult to predict which option this specialist will choose for a meeting in Palermo.
I think that the expressive Italians in their south will continue their winning streak with the support of "tiffozi".
The Armenians "blown away" a bit at the end of the qualifying round. The players look tired and the lack of Mkhitaryan affects the game of the team.
I believe that it will not be difficult for the owners to defeat such an opponent. That's why I exaggerated the "Squadron Azzurra".
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|Date||League||Home Team||Away Team||Tip||Odds||Match Result||Tip Result|
|Dec 11, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Olympiacos Piraeus||FK Crvena zvezda||Olympiacos Piraeus -0.75||1.71||1:0||WIN 1/2|
|Dec 11, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Bayern Munich||Tottenham||Bayern Munich -1||1.74||3:1||WIN|
|Dec 11, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Bayer Leverkusen||Juventus||under 2.75||2.12||0:2||WIN|
|Dec 11, 2019||England: Championship||Wigan||West Brom||under 2.5||1.97||1:1||WIN|
|Dec 11, 2019||England: Championship||Barnsley||Reading||under 2.75||2.12||1:1||WIN|
|Dec 11, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Shakhtar Donetsk||Atalanta||over 2.75||1.74||0:3||WIN 1/2|
|Dec 11, 2019||Europe: Champions League||D. Zagreb||Manchester City||Manchester City -0.75||2.00||1:4||WIN|
|Dec 10, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Lyon||RB Leipzig||over 2.75||1.81||2:2||WIN|
|Dec 10, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Inter||Barcelona||over 2.75||1.76||1:2||WIN 1/2|
|Dec 10, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Dortmund||Slavia Prague||Dortmund -1.25||1.70||2:1||LOSE 1/2|
|Dec 10, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Chelsea||Lille||Chelsea -1.75||1.84||2:1||LOSE|
|Dec 10, 2019||England: Championship||Stoke||Luton||over 2.5||1.78||3:0||WIN|
|Dec 10, 2019||England: Championship||Bristol City||Millwall||under 2.5||1.78||1:2||LOSE|
|Dec 10, 2019||Europe: Champions League||Napoli||Genk||over 3.25||1.72||4:0||WIN|
|Dec 09, 2019||Portugal: Primeira Liga||Rio Ave||Gil Vicente||over 2.5||1.94||1:0||LOSE|
|Dec 09, 2019||Germany: 2. Bundesliga||Stuttgart||Nurnberg||over 2.75||1.72||3:1||WIN|
|Dec 09, 2019||Romania: Liga 1||FC Voluntari||Viitorul Constanta||over 2.5||1.91||1:2||WIN|
|Dec 09, 2019||Denmark: Superliga||Odense||Aalborg||under 2.5||2.05||0:0||WIN|
|Dec 09, 2019||Turkey: Super Lig||Kayserispor||Rizespor||over 2.5||1.83||1:0||LOSE|
|Dec 09, 2019||Israel: Leumit League||Ashkelon||H. Ironi Rishon||over 2.5||1.90||1:2||WIN|
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