Italy vs. Spain: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 07/06/2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021 - final round

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Italy vs. Spain: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 07/06/2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021 - final round

Squadra Azzurra on the way to the second title at a European championship?

In the first semifinals of the EM 2021, two heavyweights of European football will face each other with Italy and Spain. Two teams that one could have expected in the run-up to this tournament in the round of the last four.

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The Mancini-Elf have knocked Austria and Belgium out of the playoffs so far, while the Iberians prevail against Croatia and Switzerland - but only after extra time and in the case of the Swiss only with a successful penalty shoot-out.

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For the upcoming match at Wembley Stadium between Italy and Spain, the tip aims to ensure that the four-time world champion secures the ticket for the 2021 European Championship final at the same venue next Sunday.

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Italy - statistics & current form

As mentioned, the Squadra Azzurra last defeated Belgium and showed that the "golden generation” of the Red Devils is only covered with gold leaf, at least in the depths of the squad. The situation in Italy is better: Coach Roberto Mancini not only always has a great starting XI to hand, but also very powerful players on the bench.

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This could be seen, for example, in the round of 16 against Austria, when he replaced the two future goalscorers with Chiesa and Pessina. Against the Belgians, the mental strength of his troops was again visible.

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Against the Foda-Elf they confidently trusted their own playing strength in extra time. Even against the men around Kevin de Bruyne, Italy always seemed highly motivated lately and always convinced that they would win.

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Defense oldie Chiellini is back

The return of Giorgio Chiellini in defense is also encouraging from the perspective of the European champions from 1968. With the captain on board and thanks to Marco Verratti's comeback since the last group game in defensive midfield, Italy again has a very experienced back team.

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So far, she has only allowed one goal from the game against Belgium during the tournament.

Lorenzo Insigne at the press conference after beating Belgium

Verratti is also very important for the game ahead: the PSG player has already created twelve chances - Kevin de Bruyne alone tops this number! On the other hand, Leonardo Spinazzola's defensive injury is a downer. Emerson is expected to play for him.

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The Chelsea player is a strong substitute who also has enough match experience, as he has already completed the full season in the preliminary round against Wales, among other things.

For this reason, despite the unquestionably strong offensive of the opponent with a dozen goals in the encounter between Italy and Spain, the odds for a clean sheet of the Italians are also provided with sufficient value.

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Expected formation of Italy:

Donnarumma - Chiellini - Bonucci - Di Lorenzo - Emerson - Barella - Jorginho - Verratti - Insigne - Immobile - Chiesa

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Spain - statistics & current form

The omens for the Spanish national team were not good: With Sergio Ramos, the defensive boss fell out before the European Championship and the fact that not a single Real Madrid player was in the squad led to a difficult situation for coach Luis Enrique in the media and among the fans - at least outside of Catalonia.

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When there was only one draw at the start against Sweden and Poland, the three-time European champion was already with his back to the wall. The following 5-0 against Slovakia, however, was the initial spark for the Iberians.

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Then Croatia was defeated 5: 3 after extra time, which is the first time a team has reached this high number of goals in a row at a European Championship. The high playing strength of the squad became clear in the two games and the Tiki-Taka once again experienced its perfection in the appearances of the Spaniards.

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Offensive was less convincing recently

However, the high percentage of ball possession and the sovereign short passing game against Switzerland were recently not enough for another big win. Instead, the Confederates could only be sent on summer vacation just after a penalty shoot-out.

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Overall, however, it can be stated that Spain has improved the longer the tournament lasts and that the high potential of the squad is more regularly used. On the other hand, Italy is now a very strong defensive opponent who allows few deals for his opponents. In advance, a prognosis between Italy and Spain that the Spaniards will get fewer top-class players is absolutely justifiable.

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As a result, the sometimes inadequate exploitation of scoring opportunities by the 2010 world champions could have a negative impact: Spain has a value of -3.6 for the expected goals - the highest minus value of all teams at the 2021 European Championship!

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Expected formation of Spain:

Simon - Alba - Torres P. - Laporte - Azpilicueta - Koke - Busquets - Pedri - Sarabia - Morata - Torres F.

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Italy - Spain: Direct Comparison / H2H

The last time Italy and Spain faced each other almost four years ago. The Iberians won 3-0 in the World Cup qualifier at the Bernabeu in Madrid. Morata scored one goal, who also scored twice at the current EM 2021.

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At the last European Championship, the duel took place again: The match went over the stage as part of the round of 16 and the Azzurri prevailed 2-0. With this, the four-time world champion was able to successfully take revenge for the gossip at the 2021 European Championship, when the 2012 final against Spain was 4-0.

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For the upcoming match between Italy and Spain, the odds are now wafer-thin in favor of the Belgium conquerors. In the EM 2021 betting odds for the favorites to win the title, both teams are in the following places after England.

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Listen to the semi-final episode now: Italy versus Spain as a treat- Will the Danish fairy tale continue?

Betting base forecast & Italy Italy - Spain Spain tip

After the missed World Cup qualification in 2018, Italian football got up again: Under the then newly installed coach Roberto Mancini, the Squadra Azzurra has an impressive win rate of almost 76 percent! Only two of the 37 games under his direction were lost (28-7-2).

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For the EM semi-final between Italy and Spain, the forecast also includes the Mancini-Elf in the final. From a playful point of view, the opponent is more or less at eye level, but due to the two 120-minute games in the past two rounds, "La Nazionale” has a physical advantage.

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In addition, the Italians have always been very committed in their games and seemed a bit stronger mentally than the Iberians, who recently played less dominantly against Switzerland than before.

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In contrast, Italy's most recent victory in the high-class test of strength with Belgium once again provided additional self-confidence in the opponent. He can already build on a series of 32 games without defeat and you can tell that the team is determined to make up for the shame of missing the World Cup qualification three years ago. Between Italy and Spain, the tip for good betting odds on the "To-Qualify" market is therefore an obvious choice.

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