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Legia Warsaw vs. Bodo / Glimt: Tipps, Prognosis & Odds - 07/14/2021 - EUROPE: Europa Conference League - qualification

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Legia Warsaw vs. Bodo / Glimt: Tipps, Prognosis & Odds - 07/14/2021 - EUROPE: Europa Conference League - qualification

 

In shape Norwegians appear in Warsaw

A total of 32 teams started the first round of qualifying for the 2021/22 UEFA Champions League last week. The last participant for the second qualifying round will be determined on Wednesday evening in Poland. In the capital there is a duel between Legia Warsaw and Bodo / Glimt from Norway.

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A compulsory task awaits the winner of this knockout duel in the second round, because the winner of this game is considered a clear favorite against both FC Flora Tallinn (Estonia) and the Hibernians Paola (Malta). The home side from Poland have the best chances of progressing, as they enjoyed a 3-2 win in the first leg.

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Thus, the guests need a win with two goals difference to move into the next round after 90 minutes. Legia Warsaw vs. Bodo / Glimt is currently offering betting odds at 3.20 for the tip on the guests. The game starts on Wednesday evening at 8 p.m.

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Legia Warsaw - statistics & current form

Legia Warsaw successfully defended its title in the Polish Ekstraklasa with a five-point lead. Overall, it was the 15th title win in the club's history for the capital's team. Only the performances on the international stage were disappointing, because the Poles failed both in the CL qualification (against Omonia Nicosia) and in the EL qualification (against Qarabag).

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Much stronger away than at home

Qualification for a group stage is the absolute minimum goal in the current season. Last week's away win for head coach Czeslaw Michniewicz's team wasn't exactly surprising. Last season it was shown that Legia Warsaw feels much more comfortable on a foreign pitch. Away they got an average of 2.27 points per game, at home there were "only” two points per game on average.

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It is also noticeable that the defensive stability in the home stadium was not as prevalent as it was abroad. Five goals conceded in 15 away games were an outstanding number, but at home the team around goalkeeper oldie Artur Boruc (41 years old) conceded 19 goals. With these numbers, both the prediction of goals from both teams and the over 2.5 are definitely interesting for the CL second leg between Legia Warsaw and Bodo / Glimt.

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Question mark behind two EM drivers

After last week's first leg win, head coach Michniewicz doesn't really have much reason to make changes. The regular line-up is unlikely to change, with veteran Tomas Pekhart (32 years old) and right-back Josip Juranovic (25 years old) two EM drivers could sit on the bench. Pekhart was in action for the Czech Republic, Juranovic for the Croatian national team. Otherwise, however, all actors are available.

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Expected formation of Legia Warsaw:

Boruc - Jedrzejczyk, Holowina, Wieteska - Mladenovic, Slisz, Martins Skibicki - Luquinhas, Kapustka - Emreli

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Bodo / Glimt - Statistics & current form

While Legia Warsaw is considered the most successful club at home, the championship title for Bodo / Glimt was a premiere last season. A year-round championship is being held in Norway, and head coach Kjetil Knutsen's team was able to secure the title for the first time in the 2020 season.

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The yellow and black delivered an outstanding season and were unstoppable. 26 of the 30 season games were won, a total of only one season defeat had to be absorbed and the offensive hit an unbelievable 103 times in 30 games.

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Only seven wins in 13 games

A repeat of the title win is still possible, but Bodo / Glimt will not be able to confirm the outstanding 2020 season this year. The Norwegian Eliteserien have currently played 13 game days, but the reigning champions have only won seven games. On the other hand, there are three draws and three defeats. Instead of the role of the hunted, the Knutsen-Elf now plays the role of the hunter. The gap to leaders Molde FK is five points.

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In the last few weeks in particular, things have by no means been going according to plan for Bodo / Glimt. A look at the latest results shows that only one of the most recent six competitive games (two draws, three defeats) ended victorious. Since the impressive 7-2 win against Stromsgodset on June 16, the Norwegians have had a worm.

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Young team without much experience

In 2020 the team played its way into a "flow" and was on the wave of success. Now the Knutsen-Elf has to cope with setbacks and here you can see that Bodo / Glimt is a little lacking in experience. A look at the current squad shows that only Vegard Moberg, who wasn't even in the squad in the first leg, is 30 years old. Most of the squad is in their early 20s.

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The pure joy of playing (103 goals in the previous year) is therefore no coincidence. But especially in an international comparison, the balance between offensive and defensive is extremely important and experience is lacking everywhere. But the Norwegians are also a guarantee for successful games, which underline the value tip at Legia Warsaw against Bodo / Glimt, the forecast of over 2.5.

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Expected formation of Bodo / Glimt:

Haikin - Björkan, Lode, Moe, Sampsted - Saltnes, Berg, Fet - Nordas, Botheim, Vetlesen

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Direct comparison / H2H

The Polish champions made a tailor-made start in the first leg last week. Legia Warsaw took the lead in the second minute of the game. In the end, there was a 3-2 away win and the door was pushed wide open towards the second knockout round.

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For Legia Warsaw, the 3-2 win at Bodo / Glimt was their fourth win against a Norwegian team in their eleventh game (five draws, two defeats). Bodo / Glimt, on the other hand, played a competitive game against a team from the Polish Ekstraklasa for the first time in the club's history.

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Statistics highlights for Poland Legia Warsaw against Bodo / Glimt Norway

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Betting base forecast & Poland Legia Warsaw - Bodo / Glimt Norway tip

The guests from Norway certainly have the advantage that the team is in competition mode and can also draw on the full. For the home side from Poland there is a question mark behind the two EM drivers and the Polish championship will not start for ten days. Nevertheless, in the game Legia Warsaw against Bodo / Glimt, the tip on the home win is quite obvious.

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In terms of quality, the much more experienced Polish team can certainly be classified as better. In addition, the current condition of the guests from Norway is anything but convincing. With this weakness in form and the lack of routine, it is difficult to imagine that the Norwegians can still manage the surprise. In particular, in the game Legia Warsaw vs. Bodo / Glimt, the odds on the home win with a 2.15 are surprisingly high - six units of stake are used for this.

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