Liverpool vs. Chelsea tip, prognosis & odds 04.03.2021 - Premier League Free soccer tips

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Liverpool - Chelsea tip, prognosis & odds - Premier League

The last time Chelsea Football Club visited Anfield Road, the blues players became fair congratulators. Not only because of the 5: 3 success of the Reds on matchday 37 of the previous Premier League season, but also because of the championship trophy won by LFC captain Henderson after this encounter.

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When the two English top teams face each other again on Merseyside on Thursday evening, the omens will be completely different. For Jürgen Klopp and Thomas Tuchel, in 2020/21 it's just a matter of booking the ticket for the Champions League. The odds of the best bookmakers between Liverpool and Chelsea underline that we can expect an exciting match at eye level.

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Although the home side are classified as favorites after looking at the betting base odds comparison, the forecast between Liverpool and Chelsea should by no means neglect that the (still) reigning champions are currently going through a difficult phase. On Thursday evening, for example, the fifth home defeat in the league in a row beckons.

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The beneficiaries could be the Londoners, who are still unbeaten under their new German coach and rank one place and one point ahead of the LFC in the Premier League table. For the Klopp-Elf, however, speaks the fact that the last direct duels against the capital were almost without exception positive. Will the defending champion now succeed in the turnaround?

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Direct comparison / H2H

For the 187th time, the two traditional English clubs will meet in cross-competition on Thursday evening. Liverpool lead the direct comparison with 80 wins versus 64 defeats and have mostly kept the upper hand in the recent past. The LFC won the last four direct duels in the Premier League and the final in the European Supercup 2019. Only in the FA Cup and in the League Cup, Chelsea prevailed twice.

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The first leg of the current season ended with a 2-0 victory for the Reds, who thanks to a double hit by Sadio Mane shortly after half-time, as in 2019/2020, were able to kidnap all three points from Stamford Bridge. The last home defeat for Liverpool against the Blues was in 2014.

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Liverpool stats & current form

At Liverpool Football Club there are currently increasing rumors that Jürgen Klopp has to fear more and more for his job. In addition to the sporting misery, which is mainly due to the unbelievable bad luck with injuries on the defensive, two other reasons have become public in the past few days that seriously ponder the LFC leaders. On the one hand, it is probably the wish of the successful coach to take over the German national team in the near future. On the other hand, with club icon Steven Gerrard, the perfect successor is already in the starting blocks.

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Even if there are currently unconfirmed media reports, the emerging unrest around the reigning English champions will certainly also influence the team in their preparation for the all-important home game against Chelsea FC. This should not be used as an excuse, after all, against a direct competitor it is about three existential big points in the fight for the Champions League ranks.

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Will the LFC get their fifth PL home defeat in a row?

From a purely statistical point of view, a potential tip for a home win between Liverpool and Chelsea is naturally associated with an extremely high risk. The Reds lost the last four home games in a row and are also just one win in the past five game days. The Klopp-Elf celebrated this last weekend in a 2-0 win against bottom group Sheffield United. To make matters worse, the last home win was on December 16 of the previous year. Since then, there have been six matches at Anfield Road without a threesome.

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The fact that we still prefer the odds on a home three in the game Liverpool against Chelsea is due to the four Premier League games lasting winning streak against the upcoming opponent as well as the hope on the part of the Reds that with the recent successes against RB Leipzig and Sheffield United the knot has burst.

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In addition, it should not be forgotten that the LFC has a real CFC expert on board with Sadio Mané. The Senegalese has already netted against the Blues seven times and wants to strike again on Thursday. The injured Henderson, Gomez, van Dijk, Matip and Kelleher are still unavailable. Diogo Jota could return to the squad after recovering from injury and illness. Alisson will also start again between the posts.

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Expected formation of Liverpool:

Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Phillips, Fabinho, Robertson; Thiago, Wijnaldum, Jones; Salah, Firmino, Mane

Chelsea stats & current form

Thomas Tuchel has been responsible for the English top club Chelsea FC for nine competitive games. So far, the former coach of Mainz 05, Borussia Dortmund and Paris St. Germain is still completely unbeaten. Under his leadership there were six wins and three point-sharing. The native Swabian is following in the footsteps of Luiz Felipe Scolari and Jose Mourinho, who are the only blues coaches who have managed to stay unbeaten in ten consecutive matches at the start of their term of office.

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The biggest bargaining chip the Londoners have to throw in the ring since taking over Tuchel is undoubtedly their improved defense. In the aforementioned nine games, the capital city club conceded two goals and kept the clean slate seven times (!). However, the offensive around the two German national players Werner and Havertz only got two or more goals three times. In view of these numbers, a prediction of a maximum of two hits during the game between Liverpool and Chelsea is quite close.

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Chelsea have only had six PL away wins this season

The likelihood that the Blues kidnap all three points from Anfield is relatively low, because although the form curve is pointing upwards after the coach change from Lampard to Tuchel, the away record over the entire season is at best above average. Six of the 13 guest performances in 2020/21 were victorious. Against the direct competition Arsenal, Everton or Leicester, however, it was only bankruptcies.

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On the positive side, the list of injured / banned players in the Premier League is almost completely orphaned under the Blues tab. Only behind the missions of Hudson-Odoi and Thiago Silva are still question marks. From a German point of view, it remains to be seen whether Timo Werner will be preferred to Giroud in the attack. The French striker has already scored seven goals against the Reds in his career and has recently presented himself in better shape than the ex-Leipzig.

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Expected formation of Chelsea:

Mendy; Azpilicueta, Christensen, Rüdiger; James, Kante, Kovacic, Alonso; Mount, Abraham, Werner (Giroud)

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Betting base forecast & Liverpool - Chelsea tip

Liverpool FC could only become the second team in Premier League history on Thursday evening to defeat Chelsea FC for the fifth time in a row in the English top division. Previously, only the Blackburn Rovers managed to do this in a period from 1993 to 1996.

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In order for the odds on the hosts between Liverpool and Chelsea to pay off, the Kloppo protégés have to bring a different performance to the field than in the last six home games, in which the Reds remained without a win and even received four bankruptcies. The good performances recently against RB Leipzig and Sheffield United give hope for a turnaround.

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Even if Thomas Tuchel is still without defeat with the Blues after nine competitive games and has especially stabilized the defensive extremely, we can understand that the Londoners are only treated as outsiders. Almost all of the top games in the current PL season that took place away from home were lost. 

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We believe in another liberation from the LFC and recommend the tip on a home win between Liverpool and Chelsea. For this we get a very attractive 2.30 as top rate from the tested bookmaker Betsson, which is worth a stake of five units. If you do not yet have an account with the provider mentioned, we also recommend the Betsson Bonus for new customers.

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