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Ukraine vs. Austria: Tip, prognosis & odds - 21.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

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Ukraine vs. Austria: Tip, prognosis & odds - 21.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

 

Due to the increase in the number of participants in the European Football Championship, it is not yet clear for some teams whether the journey will continue or not even after their last appearance in the group stage. Finally, the four best thirds in the group also reach the round of 16. In Group C there will be a direct duel for second / third place between Ukraine and Austria on early Monday evening in Bucharest.

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Before the direct encounter in the Romanian capital, the Eastern Europeans have the advantage on their side. The goal difference is +/- 0 for both teams, but due to the more hits scored, Ukraine would be in second place in Group C and fix in the European Championship round of 16 in the event of a point division.

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However, a draw would also be a result that would have charm for the Austrians, because with four points and an even goal difference, a place among the four best thirds in the group would be almost fixed. Accordingly, a draw would be obvious, the bookmakers also have this opinion, because the Betway app only provides betting odds of 2.05 for a draw between Ukraine and Austria.

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So will there be another Austrian international match that is reminiscent of the "Shame of Gijon" and the two teams almost silently agree on this draw? ÖFB sports director Peter Schöttel does not want to know anything about it and promises that Austria will play for victory. A duel at eye level is to be expected in any case, this is also shown by the FIFA world rankings, which have Ukraine (24th place) and Austria (23rd place) right next to each other.

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Ukraine - statistics & current form

Statistically speaking, Ukraine was the worst of the 24 teams at the European Championship finals in France five years ago. The Eastern Europeans not only lost all three group games, they didn't even score a goal.

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After the first European Championship appearance in 2021 ended with a defeat, Ukraine had meanwhile lost six European Championship finals in a row.

Mandatory win against debutant North Macedonia

This horror record is a thing of the past, however, because the team of ex-star striker Andriy Shevchenko celebrated the expected victory against the debutant from North Macedonia on the second group match day. The yellow-blue team delivered two completely different halves. In the first round, the Ukraine acted dominantly and confirmed the good performance from the Holland game.

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In the second half, however, the underdog took over more and more command, while the Ukraine fell sharply. At times it also seemed as if the actors were not 100% physically fit. The inexplicable drop in performance is certainly an argument that speaks against the prognosis for the Eastern Europeans in the Ukraine vs. Austria game.

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Yaremchuk and Yarmolenko convince

So far, Ukraine has presented itself at the Euro as a team that always seems to strike in pairs. Against Holland, the two offensive players Roman Yaremchuk (KAA Gent) and ex-BVB player Andriy Yarmolenko (now West Ham) equalized within four minutes. Against North Macedonia, the duo needed five minutes to fix the one-two.

Should the 25-year-old Roman Yaremchuk score against Austria goalkeeper Daniel Bachmann, he would only be the seventh player to score in his first three European Championship finals. The last time Gareth Bale succeeded in doing this was at the European Championships in 2016. Another Yaremchuk hit brings odds of around 3.50.

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Expected formation of Ukraine:

Bushcan - Mykolenko, Matvienko, Zabarnyi, Karavaev - Shaparenko, Stepanenko, Zinchenko - Malinovskyi, Yaremchuk, Yarmolenko

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Austria - statistics & current form

Austria was also able to defeat the curse of the European Championship in the game against EM debutant North Macedonia and celebrated its first ever victory in the seventh final game. With the 3-1 success, the door was pushed wide open towards the first-time round of 16 participation.

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Despite the good starting situation, there was still no great euphoria in Austria, because the style of play still does not tear the fans from their stools. To make matters worse, there was the "Causa Arnautovic", which made a calm preparation for the game against Holland impossible. After his suspension, however, the Chinese legionnaire returns in the decisive duel against Ukraine.

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Alaba as a source of ideas


Franco Foda does not necessarily have a reputation for being innovative, but usually relies on his tried and tested system, which is relatively tough football fare. Nevertheless, he was able to surprise the Austrians with the start of the European Championship, because for the first time David Alaba acted in a chain of three as the central central defender.

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A move that has definitely paid off. In the center or as the left wing, Alaba did not have the desired influence on the team. As head of central defense, the Bland has turned. In the first two games, Alaba initiated five scoring chances - the highest value in the Austrian national team.

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In this position, Alaba has much more influence on the game - a system change that has so far paid off. Nevertheless, Austria is still not known for an offensive spectacle. In the first two games only seven shots on goal were made, only three shots were made by players from the starting line-up.

Four goalless in the last five games

Despite three goals in the opening win against North Macedonia, the lack of penetration in the offensive cannot be denied. In four of the last five international matches, the Foda-Elf remained without a goal of their own.

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Marko Arnautovic is supposed to remedy this, who is ready for action again after surviving the suspension and can be expected from the beginning against the Eastern Europeans for the first time. "Arnie" is a player who can make all the difference with his technique and who is also looking for 1 versus 1 in order to outnumber. His return will certainly raise the quality again and is a strong argument that speaks in favor of the prognosis for the Foda protégés in Ukraine vs. Austria.

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Expected formation of Austria:

Bachmann - Dragovic, Alaba, Hinteregger - Ulmer, Laimer, Schlager, Lainer - Sabitzer, Baumgartner - Arnautovic

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Direct comparison / H2H

So far, there have not been many indications for this duel, as the two teams only faced each other twice in a friendly match. Ukraine won the premiere 2-1 in November 2011. A few months later, in June 2012, the ÖFB team took revenge with a 3-2 home win.

Betting base forecast & Ukraine Ukraine - Austria Austria tip

Neither team had particularly good memories of the European Football Championship when they last played. At the EM 2021 everything is a little different and at least one, probably even both teams will reach the round of 16. The bookmaker Bet365 tested by us provides double-digit odds for both Ukraine and Austria that the respective team is eliminated in the group stage.

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With a draw this "danger" would certainly be averted, but it remains to be seen whether the teams will actually focus on gaining points instead of winning. Maybe even a little tactic is called for, because as second in the group, Italy is waiting in the knockout phase, which would definitely not be a no-brainer.

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The draw would certainly be an obvious option, but for the game Ukraine against Austria only odds of 2.00 are offered for this tip - value is definitely not available here.

Ukraine have delivered three good halves so far, but they are certainly not a team that can be classified as stronger than Austria. In addition, the second 45 minutes against North Macedonia raise questions about physical fitness. Austria will be highly motivated by the return of Arnautovic and that is why our forecast in the Ukraine vs. Austria game is based on the Foda-Elf. Betting odds of 4.00 are definitely too high.

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