Leeds vs. Sheffield United tip, prognosis & odds 04/03/2021 - Premier League Free soccer tips

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Southampton - Burnley tip, prognosis and odds - Premier League

In fact, the big shaking begins again in the lower third of the Premier League table. Due to the strongly increasing form of the cottagers, the question of the third relegation is completely open again. A duel between two relegation candidates takes place on Easter Sunday in St. Mary’s Stadium - Southampton receives Burnley.

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A look at the current Premier League table shows the two teams as neighbors, Southampton is currently only thanks to the more goals scored in front of the Clarets from Burnley. With Fulham catching up, both teams are now "only" seven points ahead of 18th place.

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A head start that still seems comfortable, but can quickly be lost. Accordingly, both teams thirst for something countable. According to current odds, the best bookmakers see hosts Southampton against Burnley as clear favorites. The game starts early on Sunday afternoon at 1 p.m.

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On the Easter weekend, too, our authors provide information on what is happening in the motherland of football with previews, analyzes and betting forecasts. These articles can be found in our tip category Football England.

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Southampton - stats & current form

After 13 days of league matches, Southampton Football Club was still in fourth place and could dream of returning to Europe. In January, Ralph Hasenhüttl was even considered a candidate for Lampard's successor at Chelsea in the English media. The Austrian has an excellent reputation on the island. This has been particularly confirmed in the last few weeks.

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The Saints in free fall

Southampton has been dreaming of fourth place and the Champions League for a long time. In the last twelve league games, the Saints only collected a meager four points. The negative climax was the 0: 9 clap at Old Trafford against Manchester United. For Hasenhüttl a deja vu, he had to accept a 9-0 defeat (then against Leicester) last year. Despite these catastrophic key data, there is no coaching discussion.

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The main reason for this negative run is the enormous bad luck with injuries that the club has to struggle with. Hasenhüttl is repeatedly forced to make changes. At times there were almost only U21 players on the bench because he ran out of professionals. The international break at least ensured that both Danny Ings and Theo Walcott could get back into team training. In particular, top scorer Ings (nine goals this season) was sorely missed.

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Second weakest defense in the league

The Saints were able to celebrate a sense of achievement before the international break. Thanks to a 3-0 win at AFC Bournemouth, Southampton are in the semi-finals of the FA Cup, where they face Leicester City (April 18). Quiet mini hopes for the really big coup are accordingly still allowed in the Saints camp.

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One to zero has been an absolute rarity in the last few weeks, because with 51 goals Southampton has the second weakest defense in the league. Interesting detail in this regard - the "expected goals against", measured by the quality of the opposing goal chances, only show a value of 38.6.

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However, Southampton conceded the majority of goals abroad. With an average of 2.57 goals per home game (18:18 after 14 games), Southampton ranks in the bottom third of the home goal statistics. Due to the explosive nature of the game, both teams will probably choose little risk and thus the prognosis of under 2.5 for Southampton vs. Burnley is obvious.

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Expected formation of Southampton:

McCarthy - Bertrand, Vestergaard, Bednarek, Walker-Peters - Minamino, Ward-Prowse, Diallo, Walcott - Ings, Adams

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Burnley Statistics & Current Form

Not only is there no actionism in the form of quick coach dismissals in Southampton, but this is also the case at Burnley FC. Despite a catastrophic start to the season (two points from eight games), long-term coach Sean Dyche (in office since October 2012) was never up for discussion.

At Burnley, no offensive spectacle is the order of the day

This continuity was also evident in the previous year-10. paid for. Dyche football is not designed to be spectacular or offensive, but purpose-oriented. The defensive should be safe and in the front, standards in particular should ensure goal danger.

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With an average of just 2.03 goals per PL game, Burnley has the lowest score of all 20 teams this season. Nine of the 29 games ended with an over 2.5 and only ten times the "Both to Score” was the right choice - Burnley is also at the bottom in these two statistics. These numbers underline our value tip on the under 2.5 for the game Southampton vs. Burnley.

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Only one loss in the last seven games

The advantages of form in the duel between the neighbors in the table can certainly be seen in the guests. Before the international break, the Dyche-Elf conceded a defeat in seven games only against Tottenham (0: 4). The points were shared four times and an away win was achieved against Crystal Palace and Everton. Five goals were scored in these two games - the same number of goals as in the remaining twelve away games combined.

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Expected formation of Burnley:

Pope - Pieters, Mee, Tarkowski, Lowton - Gudmundsson, Brownhill, Westwood, McNeil - Wood, Vydra

Direct comparison / H2H

The Burnley Clarets have been a kind of "fear enemy" for Southampton Football Club in the recent past. The Hasenhüttl-Elf won the first leg 1-0 thanks to an early goal from Danny Ings (5th minute). Previously, the Saints had been unsuccessful seven times in a row. If they win again at home, Southampton would celebrate two wins in one season against Burnley for the first time since the 1970/71 season.

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These chances are good, because Burnley has only won four of the 28 league games at St. Mary’s Stadium so far. In the betting base odds comparison for the Sunday game between Southampton and Burnley are currently betting odds of 2.15 for the Hasenhüttl-Elf.

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Bet base forecast & Southampton - Burnley tip

The FA Cup has certainly the higher priority for the hosts from Southampton this season, after all, the Saints are only one step away from the final. However, the Hasenhüttl-Elf must not lose sight of the table situation in the Premier League. All the more important would be the successful tip on the home win on Easter Sunday in the game Southampton vs. Burnley.

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"Four points from twelve games" meet "one defeat in seven games" and yet the troubled host is seen as a relatively clear favorite. Burnley is a team that - despite their two away wins - has big problems abroad.

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Two arguments that speak for the home side are the fact that the Hasenhüttl-Elf is certainly stronger at home than abroad and the return of Ings and Walcott. The experience and the quality of this duo was missing in this difficult situation. Due to the duo's comeback, the tip on a home win is recommended for the game between Southampton and Burnley. The weak away appearances of the Clarets underline this bet.

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