Toulouse vs. Nantes: tips, prognosis & odds - 27.05.2021 - FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Relegation

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Toulouse vs. Nantes: tips, prognosis & odds - 27.05.2021 - FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Relegation

In many top European leagues, relegation games are on the agenda these days. This is also the case in France, where Toulouse and Nantes are arguing for the last vacant spot for the Ligue 1 season 2021/22 in a round-trip leg. The first of the two matches will take place on Thursday evening; the decision will finally be made on Sunday.

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If we look at the betting odds on the "To Qualify” market between Toulouse and Nantes in advance, it becomes clear that the bookmakers give the current first division club from the big city in western France far better chances of staying in the league than the purple-whites who play in the last season in Ligue 2 reached third place and just one year after relegation from the House of Lords absolutely want to realize the immediate return.

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This assessment, which makes a prediction of the away win a legitimate option before the first leg Toulouse vs. Nantes, is primarily based on the good results of the "canaries" in recent weeks. The FCN won four of the last five top division games and also collected the maximum yield of nine points from the last three games abroad.

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Regardless, the team of coach Antoine Kombouaré expects an uncomfortable task at the Stade Municipal, because Toulouse FC turned out to be an absolute home power in the calendar year 2021. In view of these aspects, a bet on the outcome of such an important match is inevitably associated with enormous risks. It may therefore make more sense to search through the various betting apps of the providers for the odds on over / under.

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Toulouse - statistics & current form

In the run-up to the second division season, Toulouse Football Club had set itself the goal of achieving immediate promotion back to Ligue 1. Due to an unsuccessful start with only one win from the first six games, intermittent failures against supposedly weaker opponents and two unnecessary draws on the last two game days, the purple-whites had to be satisfied with third place and the arduous promotion playoffs.

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As part of this promotion round, Grenoble could at least be defeated 3-0 at home in the semi-finals. The protégés of coach Garande once again underlined their impressive home strength after the turn of the year. Ten of the eleven home games in the calendar year 2021 were victorious. Only at home against Pau it was only enough to draw.

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There was usually a spectacle in Toulouse

In total, the promotion aspirant scored a whopping 29 goals in the home games in 2021 and thus almost three on average per game. There were fewer than two own goals in only two of eleven cases. In eight of the eleven mentioned matches at the Stade Municipal, a bet on the over 2.5 would have been crowned with success.

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Consequently, we draw two conclusions from these statistics: On the one hand, we would advise against a tip on the three-point of the guests in the first leg between Toulouse and Nantes, especially since the first division team is not forced to set the course for relegation abroad. On the other hand, we feel the odds for a relegation game on Thursday evening with at least three goals are too high.

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With 71 goals scored in 38 games, Toulouse has the best attack in the French second division for good reason. In addition, in Ligue 2 games with TFC participation, most goals were ever scored. In five of the most recent six competitive games, the over 2.5 would have always paid off. In terms of personnel, coach Garande can draw on the full potential. The main focus should be on Kouadio Koné, who will move to Gladbach in the summer. Alongside Adli and Antiste, the 20-year-old midfielder is one of three top talents in the southern French who would be difficult to keep if they were not promoted.

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Expected formation of Toulouse:

Dupe; Amian, Dewaest, Gabrielsen; Moreira, Kone, Dejaegere, Machado; Spierings; Healey, Bayo

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Nantes - statistics & current form

For Antoine Kombouaré, coach of FC Nantes, the two upcoming relegation games will be very special. On the one hand, of course, because of the enormous pressure not to be allowed to relegate and thus possibly to lose the job that was started at the end of February. On the other hand, because of his past in Toulouse.

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The 57-year-old once started his work for the upcoming opponent in October 2019, but was finally fired again after only around three months and eleven defeats in 13 competitive games. Can Kombouaré now "take revenge” on those responsible?

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Will Nantes tie in with the good last games?

If the last results of the canaries are used as a yardstick, the answer must probably be "yes”, because in the final sprint the former European Cup participant suddenly presented himself much stronger than over long stretches of the season. Thanks to four victories in a row before the last matchday, the yellow-green even had a good chance of making it straight to relegation, but due to the 2-1 defeat against Montpellier, the eight-time national champions remained third from the bottom.

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Nevertheless, the performances naturally brought courage and self-confidence for the upcoming tasks. Especially offensively, the knot seemed to have burst lastingly. In 15 of the last 17 league games, the southern French met at least once. In the last six matches, more than two goals were always scored. Looking back on the last eleven Ligue 1 games by Canaries alone, the over 2.5 would have been the right choice in nine cases.

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As a result, it makes sense to use the tested bookmaker Tipwin between Toulouse and Nantes, for example, to submit the high odds for the forecast of three or more hits in the course of the game. All service providers are available in terms of personnel. A certain rotation with regard to the second leg, which will already take place on Sunday, is therefore not excluded.

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Expected formation of Nantes:

Lafont; Corchia, Castelletto, Pallois, Appiah; Blas, Louza, Chirivella, Simon; Kolo Muani, Coulibaly

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Direct comparison / H2H

The two clubs have already played 62 competitive games in the country's top division or in the national cup competitions. With 25 wins, FC Nantes leads the direct comparison. Toulouse has 19 successes, while 18 games ended in a draw. Incidentally, the home team had the upper hand in five of the most recent six direct duels. Last year, the canaries in the upper house won just 2: 1 at home.

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Betting base forecast & France Toulouse - Nantes France tip

Not only in Germany, but also in France, the third from bottom of the first division and third place in the second division duel for the last ticket for the new season in the upper house. The first leg in the Ligue 1 relegation will take place on Thursday evening. Toulouse welcomes Nantes. According to the odds, there is no clear favorite for this game. In terms of the overall result, however, the advantages lie more with the guests.

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For the first of two matches, unlike the bookmakers, we expect a lively up and down with one or the other goal. This assessment is mainly based on the fact that both teams have recently gained a lot of self-confidence and their strengths are more on the offensive.

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No team scored more goals in Ligue 2 than Toulouse. At home, the purple-whites not only scored ten wins and one draw in eleven home games in the calendar year 2021, but also scored 29 goals of their own!

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Because more than two goals were scored in nine of the last eleven league games with Nantes participation, we come to the conclusion that between Toulouse and Nantes the tip on three or more goals after 90 minutes has an extremely attractive value. A 2.35 can be alluded to at the top via the Unibet app, which in our opinion in no way reflects the actual starting position on the over / under market. Fire free in the Stade Municipal!

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