Lille vs. AC Milan tip, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2020 26/11/2020
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Lille vs. AC Milan tip, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2020
What do names like Andrea Pirlo, Kaka, Filippo Inzaghi, Clarence Seedorf or Gennaro Gattuso sound like? They are reminiscent of the golden era of AC Milan around 15 years ago. At that time, the Italians won the Champions League, among other things, and after a long dry spell they are currently on the way up again.
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History also repeats itself when looking at the upcoming opponent in the Europa League. Even then, Milan faced Lille OSC in the group stage of the premier class. This time there are two duels against the French in the Euro League.
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What do names like Andrea Pirlo, Kaka, Filippo Inzaghi, Clarence Seedorf or Gennaro Gattuso sound like? They are reminiscent of the golden era of AC Milan around 15 years ago. At that time, the Italians won the Champions League, among other things, and after a long dry spell they are currently on the way up again.
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History also repeats itself when looking at the upcoming opponent in the Europa League. Even then, Milan faced Lille OSC in the group stage of the premier class. This time there are two duels against the French in the Euro League.
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Lille - statistics & current form
Looking at the national tables in Europe, it becomes clear that Thursday evening's encounter in Lille is a real top game. Not only the guests are at the top of the table in Italy, but Lille have also had a strong playing time so far. The Great Danes are only just behind the reigning champions PSG in second place in Ligue 1.
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Great Danes with broad chest
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After the defeat in Brest, some feared a turnaround for the worse. But Lille responded with a convincing 4-0 home win against FC Lorient at the weekend.
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The result was fully deserved, even in terms of height. The home side fired over 30 shots on goal at the opposing body and the offensive power of coach Christophe Galtier's team was immense. Double goal scorer Yusuf Yazici and midfield engine Luiz Araujo stood out from the overall strong team.
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Yazici meets how he wants
The French representative gained a lot of self-confidence with the victory and wants to make the entry into the knockout round of the Europa League early on Thursday. Between Lille and AC Milan, a prognosis for the home win is by no means absurd and the most likely outcome in this game.
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Expected formation of Lille:
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Maignan - Pied, Soumaoro, Botman, Bradaric - Luiz Araujo, André, Xeka, J. Bamba - Yazici, David
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AC Milan - statistics & current form
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The clear focus of AC Milan this season is on the national Serie A. There serial champions Juventus Turin should finally be beaten again and after eight match days things are looking good. Milan leads the tableau with 20 points and four points ahead of the old lady.
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Focus on Serie A
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Coach Stefano Pioli owes this to his Swedish superstar in attack. Zlatan Ibrahimovic was again the match winner in the 3-1 away win in Naples this weekend. He scored a brace and put his team on the road to victory.
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The injury to the oldie was all the more bitter in the final phase. He had to leave the field with slight muscle problems and will most certainly not be used on Thursday. The Europa League does not have the highest priority, although of course the entry into the intermediate round should still succeed.
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How much does Pioli rotate?
After two successes at the start and the bankruptcy against Lille in the first leg, the starting position for the Italians is still quite comfortable and it is quite possible that coach Pioli will spare other players on Thursday evening. As a result, a prognosis for the home win between Lille and AC Milan is of course further supported.
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Expected formation of AC Milan:
G. Donnarumma - Calabria, Kjaer, Romagnoli, Theo - Bennacer, Kessié, Saelemaekers, Calhanoglu, Rebic - Colombo
Direct comparison / H2H balance
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14 years ago, when the clubs faced each other in the group stage of the Champions League, the Italians were considered favorites and the mastiffs surprised. Lille got four points from the two encounters and in the end moved into the next round together with Milan. This scenario could repeat itself in 2020 and in Group H both clubs have a good chance of a ticket for the second round.
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It also seems to be repeated that the French representative has the better end for himself in the direct duels. In the first leg, Lille surprisingly prevailed 3-0 away at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium.
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Last weekend's double goalscorer, Yusuf Yazici, scored three times and became the big match winner. Success at home is of course possible with a similar performance. Milan would have to wait for the premiere win against OSC.
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Betting base forecast & France Lille - AC Milan Italy tip
Especially with the Europa League League tips on the betting base, the motivation of the individual teams must often be taken into account in addition to the form. For some clubs, the "European Second League" is not the top priority. This is often the case with Italian clubs and Milan, as the front runners in Serie A, is currently clearly focusing on the league.
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In addition to the ailing Zlatan Ibrahimovic, other players could be spared on Thursday evening, which makes a second success of the Great Danes more likely in a direct comparison. In the odds comparison of the betting base, the odds on the Lille side have already fallen a little and a stake on the home win should be given as soon as possible in this encounter. The recommended bet size is six units.
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Direct comparison / H2H balance
14 years ago, when the clubs faced each other in the group stage of the Champions League, the Italians were considered favorites and the mastiffs surprised.
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Lille got four points from the two encounters and in the end moved into the next round together with Milan. This scenario could repeat itself in 2020 and in Group H both clubs have a good chance of a ticket for the second round.
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It also seems to be repeated that the French representative has the better end for himself in the direct duels. In the first leg, Lille surprisingly prevailed 3-0 away at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. Last weekend's double goalscorer, Yusuf Yazici, scored three times and became the big match winner. Success at home is of course possible with a similar performance. Milan would have to wait for the premiere win against OSC.
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Betting base forecast & France Lille - AC Milan Italy tip
Especially with the Europa League League tips on the betting base, the motivation of the individual teams must often be taken into account in addition to the form. For some clubs, the "European Second League" is not the top priority. This is often the case with Italian clubs and Milan, as the front runners in Serie A, is currently clearly focusing on the league.
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In addition to the ailing Zlatan Ibrahimovic, other players could be spared on Thursday evening, which makes a second success of the Great Danes more likely in a direct comparison. In the odds comparison of the betting base, the odds on the Lille side have already fallen a little and a stake on the home win should be given as soon as possible in this encounter. The recommended bet size is six units.
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Will Lille remain unbeaten in their third game against Milan?
Milan have never scored or won against Lille. The French won 2 and a draw was possible once. It was Lille that ended Milan's streak of 28 unbeaten games - 5 draws and 23 wins. Lille is currently very successful on the field, which is why tip 1 could be offered.
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Can Lille celebrate their first ever home win against Milan?
At the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, LOSC Lille receives AC Milan for the second leg in the Europa League group stage. On November 26th, 2020 this game will kick off at 6:55 p.m. Since 2006 these two clubs face each other for the third time. They separated in Lille in 2006 with a 0-0.
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The other two games could Lille win with 0-2 and 0-3 away. Accordingly, the French are still waiting for a home win against the Milanese. If Lille wins, expand your group tour. If Milan wins, they will take first place in Group H. You can read more about both teams here, because we subjected both of them to a detailed analysis. You will also find an extensive odds comparison here so that you can get the most out of your betting tips.
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OSC LILLE
- Home advantage
- Have never lost to Milan
- Lead the group with 7 points
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AC MILAN
- Are still unbeaten away from home
- Place 2 with 6 points
- Have never lost to Lille away from home
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Can Lille defend its 1st place in the group before Milan?
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The French have only lost 1 of their last 14 games, 3-2 away against Stade Brest, and only had to accept 5 draws. So they could celebrate 8 victories. In addition, they have been unbeaten for 7 home games because of 4 wins and 3 draws. So they haven't lost a Europa League group game yet:
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• Sparta Prague vs. Lille: 1: 4
• Celtic Glasgow vs. Lille: 2-2
• Milan vs. Lille: 0-3
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They met her 9 times and conceded 3 goals. Lille made 17 attempts. 33 of 71 crosses arrived and the passing game convinced with an accuracy of 84 percent. Your possession rate is 56%. Lille's defense engaged in 13 tackles and the ball was recaptured 108 times. Milan also has similar statistics.
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Lille and the Europa League
Lille are known for playing in the premier class. They only had to complete 3 Europa League qualifications and 4 times they were in their group phase, whereby they advanced once to the second round. Below we have listed Lille's Europa League placements:
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• 2009/10: Round of 16
• 2010/11: 2nd round
• 2014/15: group stage
• 2020/21: group stage, still being played
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Between 2014/15 and 2020/21 they played one season in the Champions League and once, in 2016/17, they were eliminated in the 3rd Europa League qualification.
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The French have met clubs from Italy 12 times so far. They only lost 5 games and managed to draw 1. So they also won 6 victories.
Can AC Milan dispute the group leadership in Lille?
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After the game was resumed after the forced break, the Rossoneri have completed 30 games. Of these, they only lost 1 game, namely against Lille and were satisfied with 6 draws, if you can say that. As a result, 23 games were won. Accordingly, they were defeated in only one group game of the Europa League and could win 2:
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• Celtic Glasgow vs. Milan: 1: 3
• Milan vs. Sparta Prague: 3-0
• Milan vs. Lille: 0-3
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All in all, Milan scored 6 times and allowed 4 points. For these goals they made 13 attempts. 51% of their crosses arrived (39 attempts and 20 arrived).
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Their passing game was 85% accurate and they controlled the ball 54% in their ranks. The Milanesi defense engaged in 8 tackles and recaptured the ball 110 times.
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Incidentally, the Milanese had to qualify for the Europa League:
• Shamrock Rovers vs. Milan: 0-2
• Milan vs. Bøde / Glimt: 3: 2
• Rio Ave FC vs. Milan: 10:11 after a penalty shoot-out
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Milan have also lost their last away game 16 away. Before that, they won 11 away games and made 4 draws.
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The Milanese met clubs from France 30 times. Milan won 15 games and made 7 draws. They admitted defeat 8 times.
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Milan and the Europa League
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Milan played mainly in the Champions League - more often than Lille. They were only 3 times in the Europa League, whereby they had to complete a qualification 2 times:
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• 2017/18: 4th qualifying round, then round of 16
• 2018/19: group stage
• 2020/21: qualification, then group stage that is currently being played
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Before 2017/18, they played almost every year in the premier class, but only until the 2013/14 season. Then it was about the Milanese, until 2017 it was quiet.
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Betting tip and forecast
You could actually think about tip X for this game, but it is still questionable whether Zlatan Ibrahimovic will be able to play for Milan. Since Lille has been very convincing for 14 match days, we recommend a tip 1.
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In the over / under bets, we would bet on over 2.5 goals rather than under 2.5. The bookmakers created very similar odds for both options. Even though Milan have never scored against Lille, we believe they will land their very own in this game. Therefore we can recommend a bet on a yes if both teams meet.
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BELOW IS A STATISTIC OF OUR LATEST PREDICTIONS AND THEIR RESULTS
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| Apr 24, 2024 | Netherlands: Eredivisie | Ajax | Excelsior | Ajax -1.75 | 1.98 | 2:2 | LOSE |
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