Italien vs. Polen Tipp, Prognose & Quoten – Nations League 2020 15/11/20 Free soccer tips

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Italy vs. Poland tip, prognosis & odds - Nations League 2020

The final sprint of the Nations League holds a lot of tension in store, because things are hot in many groups. This is also the case in group A1, where Poland is a real outsider ahead.

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The great football powers Italy and the Netherlands still have a lot to do on the last two match days to drive the Eastern Europeans off the top of the table. In any case, the Italians now have the chance to overtake Lewandowski and colleagues in a direct duel, but this endeavor will not be a walk in the park.

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Because even if in the game Italy vs. Poland the odds are clearly on the side of the hosts, the starting point is less clear than you might think. A victory of the Mancini-Elf is by no means set in stone, especially since the Italians in 2020 stood out as champions of the draw.

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Why the bookmakers are so convinced of a home win is not entirely clear to us and therefore the game Italy vs. Poland a corresponding tip is not necessarily recommended.

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By the way, there are many tips and recommendations for betting in our sports betting guide.

 Italy - statistics & current form

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The fact that Italy will take the lead in Group A1 on Sunday is primarily clear to the bookmakers, but the statistics speak a different language in this regard. Although the Mancini-Elf can fall back on the home advantage, this is much lower in times of empty stadiums than in the past.

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Whether in the game Italy vs. Poland's betting odds are actually justified in this form, so it remains to be seen.

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Lots of draws - few goals

Under Mancini, Italy returned to its traditional strengths. The focus is primarily on the defensive and that is also reflected in the results, as goalkeeper Donnarumma only had to reach behind him twice in six international matches. It last conceded more than one goal over two years ago.

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So you are prepared for Poland's star striker Lewandowski. The question will be whether Immobile and his offensive colleagues will play against the also compact Poles, because with three goals from four Nations League games, the Italians were anything but powerful at the front.

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Offensive is required

What to do if things are not going well at the front? Even if all of his protégés are fit, Mancini lacks a little offensive alternatives. Hardly anyone deserves the title world class on the offensive.

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As long as the store is kept tight at the back, the number of hits is in a certain way secondary.

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According to this starting position, the game Italy vs. Poland's prognosis for a few goals is actually obvious. For a tip below 2.5, Unibet is the best betting provider.

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Another draw by the Squadra Azzura does not seem unlikely. It would be the fourth division of points in five competition games. A corresponding tip is definitely inviting due to the good quota.

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Expected formation of Italy:

Donnarumma - D´Ambrosio, Chiellini, Bonucci, Spinazzola - Barella, Jorginho, Veratti - Chiesa, Immobile, Pellegrini

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Poland - statistics & current form

As the current leader of the table, Poland has the sensational opportunity to win the Nations League Group A1. On the final way to this goal, the Eastern Europeans still have two important obstacles, because after the guest appearance in the south, the Dutch come to Warsaw for the final duel.

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Defensive is the key to success

"What the Italians can do, we've been able to do that for a long time.” According to this motto, the game of the Poles, who appear very convincingly in 2020, is as tight as their defense with only two goals in the current Nations League competition around Chiellini and Bonucci.

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The only difference to the Italians is that Poland has a Lewandowski up front and he always scores.

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In the duel Italy vs. Poland is a prognosis for a tactical exchange of blows by no means out of place, because the guests have often presented themselves as unpleasant opponents in the past and this time they will make it extremely difficult for the home side again.

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Duel at eye level ?!

The Poles have to make clear cuts in terms of the depth of their squad, but they should be prepared for a temporary match with the 2006 world champions. Already at the home game they showed that they are on par with Italy.

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The bookmakers still see the guests as clear outsiders, as can be seen from our betting base odds comparison. With a win rate of 5.25, the Poles are given little chance, especially because of the excellent odds in the game Italy vs. Poland a tip against the hosts but quickly pay off.

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Expected formation of Poland:

Fabianski - Kedziora, Walukiewicz, Glik, Bereszinsky - Moder, Krychowiak - Szymanski, Klich, Jozwiak - Lewandowski

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Direct comparison / H2H balance

In the direct duel, the Italians, who celebrated six wins in 17 duels, are ahead. For Poland it was only enough for a full success three times. Eight games ended in a draw, which shows once again that the game Italy vs. Poland could well pay off a forecast of another point-sharing.

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Betting base forecast & Italy Italy - Poland Poland tip

Can the Italians get the badly necessary threesome against compact Poles to turn the tables in the group after all? One thing is clear: If this succeeds, it will certainly not be with a fireworks display, because both teams have outstanding defensive statistics.

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A very close game is pre-programmed, in which one goal could be enough to win. For under 2.5, Unibet offers in the game Italy vs. Poland odds of 1.68. That is not a lot, but this option can be described as particularly promising.

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The Italians in particular know how to play a draw, and although they rarely lose, they have only won once in the Nations League. Another draw therefore doesn't seem so unlikely. You can find out where you can best submit a corresponding tip at our betting shop test.

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