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URUGUAY VS. PARAGUAY: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 29.06.2021 - SOUTH AMERICA: Copa America 2021
Will Uruguay still secure second place in Group A?
One day before the end of the group stage, Uruguay still has the chance to take second place behind Argentina. For this, however, they need a win against Paraguay who currently have 2 points more on their account. Uruguay is still a slight favorite.
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5th matchday between Uruguay and Paraguay
Both teams have already successfully qualified for the quarter-finals. On the last day of the match it is now a matter of creating a good starting position for the quarter-finals. Paraguay is currently in 2nd place behind Argentina and could even take the lead in Group A with a win. Uruguay, on the other hand, has 4 points. In order to overtake Paraguay, they definitely need a win. Because of the quality of the squad, we would favor the Urus in this game. The kick-off is from Monday to Tuesday at 2:00 a.m.
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Uruguay
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Paraguay
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Uruguay - the duel against Brazil should be avoided
With 15 titles, Uruguay is the record champion of the Copa America. The last title so far, however, was a few years ago and they succeeded in 2011. In the last 3 Copa America championships they did not even make it to the semifinals. That should change again this year, but for that they need at least a draw on the last day of the game. Otherwise, they face a duel against top favorites Brazil in the quarter-finals.
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This is how the previous Copa America went
So far, the Uruguayan national team has played 3 games in this year's Copa America. The balance after these games is balanced and stands with a win, a draw and a defeat. The somewhat disappointing point yield gives them only 4th place in the table.
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After all, they are already qualified for the quarter-finals, because Bolivia in 5th place has not yet been able to collect a point. The goal difference of Uruguay is at least positive and stands at 3-2 goals. This is also the reason why one point would be enough for them to displace at least Chile from 3rd place and thus avoid the duel against Brazil.
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THE PREVIOUS GAMES OF URUGUAY:
2nd matchday: Argentina 1-0 Uruguay
Matchday 3: Uruguay 1-1 Chile
4th matchday: Bolivia - Uruguay 0-2
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Weak year 2021 for Uruguay
The win against Bolivia on the last day of the match was the first in 2021 and the first in a total of 5 games. The team has had particularly big problems recently in the actually strong offensive. In 4 of the last 6 games they failed to mark a hit. In the game against Bolivia, they scored more than one goal per game for the first time since November 2020. Accordingly, few goals have been scored in recent games in Uruguay. 5 games in a row ended with less than 2.5 goals. At least the 3rd time they managed to keep the zero.
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Lineup from the last matchday:
Muslera - Vina, Godin, Gimenez, Nandez - De La Cruz, Vecino, Valverde - de Arrascaeta - Suarez, Cavani
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The table in group A
Place team points
1 Argentina 7
2 Paraguay 6
3 Chile 5
4 Uruguay 4
5 Bolivia 0
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Paraguay - the chance of winning the group is alive
Paraguay has only won the Copa America for the second time. That was in 1953 and 1979. In recent years, however, they have only played a minor role, even if they made it to the semi-finals in 2015. It was the biggest success since 1989 where they also made it to the semi-finals. So far this year they have played a squeaky clean Copa America, because after 3 games they are in 2nd place behind Argentina. A win over Uruguay could even secure group victory.
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The strong performances in the group stage
Somewhat surprisingly, Paraguay is in 2nd place in Group A after 3 games. Before the start of the tournament, the team was rated as the clear number 4 in Group A behind Argentina, Uruguay and Chile. After an opening win against Bolivia, however, they also succeeded against Chile.
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The only defeat so far was against league leaders Argentina. In order to overtake them, they therefore need a win. The offensive must be emphasized positively, because with already 5 goals they are the best in group A. Both in the win against Bolivia, as well as in the win against Chile they scored at least 2 hits.
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THE PREVIOUS GAMES AT COPA AMERICA
Paraguay 3-1 Bolivia
Argentina 1-0 Paraguay
Chile 0-2 Paraguay
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Lineup from the last matchday:
Silva - Martinez, Alonso, Gomez, Espinola - Arzamendia, Lucena, Villasanti, Samudio - Gonzales, Almiron
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Uruguay and Paraguay in direct comparison
These statistics show a clear picture, because Paraguay has been waiting for a win against Uruguay for over 10 years. The last time they were able to win in the 2008/09 World Cup qualification. The Urus have been unbeaten for 8 games, but 4 of them ended in a draw. So also the last one at the beginning of June, where the World Cup qualification did not go beyond 0-0. Before this draw, Uruguay celebrated two wins in a row.
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THE RESULTS OF THE LAST DUELS
Year 2021: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Year 2017: Paraguay 1-2 Uruguay
Year 2016: Uruguay 4-0 Paraguay
2015: Uruguay 1-1 Paraguay
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Tip and forecast
Paraguay is currently playing the better Copa America, but Uruguay still has the chance to climb to second place with a win. In terms of quality in the squad, we would therefore prefer the home team, also because they finally managed to win again in the last game against Bolivia.
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Should you decide on a winning tip, we would recommend Uruguay. In the last few games, this has not been in top form, especially offensively. Like Paraguay, they only conceded 2 goals in the group stage. We are therefore assuming a game with less than 2.5 goals.
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| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Tip | Odds | Match Result | Tip Result |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Portugal: Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente | Arouca | under 2.5 | 1.87 | 2:2 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | England: Championship | QPR | Leeds | over 2.5 | 1.83 | 4:0 | WIN |
| Apr 26, 2024 | France: Ligue 1 | Montpellier | Nantes | over 2.5 | 1.84 | 1:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Ireland: Premier Division | Drogheda | Sligo Rovers | under 2.25 | 1.75 | 3:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Italy: Serie B | Venezia | Cremonese | under 2.5 | 1.90 | 2:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Switzerland: Challenge League | Aarau | Bellinzona | over 2.75 | 1.86 | 0:2 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Netherlands: Eerste Divisie | Venlo | Den Bosch | over 2.75 | 1.90 | 2:3 | WIN |
| Apr 26, 2024 | France: National | Cholet | Rouen | under 2.25 | 1.90 | 1:2 | LOSE |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Turkey: Super Lig | Adana Demirspor | Galatasaray | Galatasaray -1 | 1.87 | 0:3 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Netherlands: Eredivisie | G.A. Eagles | Feyenoord | Feyenoord -1 | 1.81 | 1:3 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | England: Premier League | Brighton | Manchester City | over 3 | 1.82 | 0:4 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Romania: Liga 1 | Univ. Craiova | CFR Cluj | under 2.5 | 1.82 | 0:1 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Poland: Division 1 | GKS Katowice | Leczna | under 2.5 | 1.83 | 0:0 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Belgium: Jupiler Pro League | Antwerp | Royale Union SG | over 2.5 | 1.90 | 0:3 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Norrkoping | Elfsborg | over 2.75 | 1.98 | 4:2 | WIN |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Vasteras SK | Mjallby | under 2.25 | 1.90 | 2:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | Malmo FF | Djurgarden +0.25 | 2.02 | 0:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Sweden: Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | Malmo FF | over 2.5 | 1.88 | 0:1 | LOSE |
| Apr 24, 2024 | England: Premier League | Manchester Utd | Sheffield Utd | Manchester Utd -1.75 | 2.04 | 4:2 | WIN 1/2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | France: Ligue 1 | Monaco | Lille | over 2.75 | 1.91 | 1:0 | LOSE |
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